{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1897452b-1775-4bff-9eab-860a0e9b02cd", "symbol": "6793", "name": "Tien Li Offshore Wind Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 66.816, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.455, "architecture_energy": 13.828, "architecture_maturity": 23.599, "architecture_confidence": 67.87, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.47, "rotation_up": 28.04, "upward_expansion": 18.36, "deceleration": 31.7, "rotation_down": 33.84, "downward_expansion": 59.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.657333, 5.663091, 5.65481, 5.800559 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.38, "trend_reference": 5.970333, "distance_from_trend": -0.098878, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.5196, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.761097, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -36.079027, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.231429, "excess_performance": -0.672801, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.098878, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022726, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.761097, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006895, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.36079, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002772, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.231429, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.767766, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 743516, "relative_activity": 0.529576, "balance": 0.767766, "dry_up": 0.637896, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.172148, "annualized_volatility": 0.642652, "from_high_reference": -0.43189, "from_low_reference": 0.268868 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.970333, "fair_value_reference": 22.5196, "structural_low": 4.56, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.011814, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.07435, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.355865, "worst_return": -0.183908, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.035714, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.129045, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.077535, "worst_return": -0.132879, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.099379, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.401103, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.17495, "worst_return": -0.160136, "sufficient": 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1248899, "typical_volume": 1410822.65, "trend": 5.956, "fair_value": 23.097674, "relative_strength": -32.045568, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.258291, "energy": 18.972892, "activity_lines": [ 5.835333, 5.626909, 5.705286, 5.848753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.8, "volume": 601013, "typical_volume": 1413335.8, "trend": 5.971, "fair_value": 22.812049, "relative_strength": -29.955595, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.383251, "energy": 14.5292, "activity_lines": [ 5.846, 5.689636, 5.699667, 5.838688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 5.38, "volume": 743516, "typical_volume": 1403982.95, "trend": 5.970333, "fair_value": 22.5196, "relative_strength": -36.079027, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.455075, "energy": 13.828062, "activity_lines": [ 5.657333, 5.663091, 5.65481, 5.800559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }