{ "ticker": { "uuid": "18a024dc-46e8-4439-8f01-7b4b5a278390", "symbol": "IOT", "name": "Seco S.p.A.", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.851, "architecture_energy": 78.111, "architecture_maturity": 26.211, "architecture_confidence": 76.025, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.28, "rotation_up": 80.04, "upward_expansion": 95.32, "deceleration": 41.38, "rotation_down": 10.58, "downward_expansion": 17.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.416333, 3.302727, 3.1005, 2.979118 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 3.465, "trend_reference": 2.881167, "distance_from_trend": 0.202638, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.758968, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.255904, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.217178, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.241935, "excess_performance": 0.071044, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.202638, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034345, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.255904, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.273175, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012172, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102353, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.241935, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.586231, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 529086, "relative_activity": 0.768697, "balance": 3.586231, "dry_up": 1.772442, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066378, "annualized_volatility": 0.459676, "from_high_reference": -0.045455, "from_low_reference": 0.553812 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.881167, "fair_value_reference": 2.758968, "structural_low": 2.23, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.543642, "energy": 80.919394, "activity_lines": [ 3.199667, 3.077818, 2.928643, 2.861978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.365, "volume": 559966, "typical_volume": 645755.0, "trend": 2.844, "fair_value": 2.769897, "relative_strength": 2.355372, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.686137, "energy": 80.110882, "activity_lines": [ 3.264333, 3.153, 2.98131, 2.89671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.52, "volume": 1477709, "typical_volume": 689838.1, "trend": 2.863667, "fair_value": 2.764551, "relative_strength": 6.047378, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.250912, "energy": 83.251163, "activity_lines": [ 3.359333, 3.240909, 3.045619, 2.940323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.465, "volume": 529086, "typical_volume": 688289.0, "trend": 2.881167, "fair_value": 2.758968, "relative_strength": 1.217178, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.850912, "energy": 78.110638, "activity_lines": [ 3.416333, 3.302727, 3.1005, 2.979118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }