{ "ticker": { "uuid": "18adc0f8-efc9-49dd-b847-134fb13d225e", "symbol": "KNRE11", "name": "Kinea II Real Estate Equity Fundo de Investimento Imobili\u00e1rio", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 78.461, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.345, "architecture_energy": 25.996, "architecture_maturity": 27.037, "architecture_confidence": 86.071, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.53, "rotation_up": 21.53, "upward_expansion": 10.64, "deceleration": 42.68, "rotation_down": 47.6, "downward_expansion": 70.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.331333, 0.331818, 0.333333, 0.334129 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.33, "trend_reference": 0.334333, "distance_from_trend": -0.012961, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.189968, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.737137, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.009737, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": 0.057048, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012961, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02866, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.737137, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.267023, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010097, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004947, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.466441, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21701, "relative_activity": 1.550581, "balance": 0.466441, "dry_up": 1.838944, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030303, "annualized_volatility": 0.2136, "from_high_reference": -0.131579, "from_low_reference": 0.380349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.334333, "fair_value_reference": 0.189968, "structural_low": 0.33, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": -0.006935, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.067431, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.033746, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.123148, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.053188, "worst_return": -0.342113, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.073165, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.10926, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.991888, "worst_return": -0.526323, "sufficient": false 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0.333818, 0.334857, 0.334664 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.33, "volume": 43566, "typical_volume": 13046.8, "trend": 0.332667, "fair_value": 0.187566, "relative_strength": -1.82645, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.724832, "energy": 11.605315, "activity_lines": [ 0.332667, 0.333091, 0.334333, 0.334559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.33, "volume": 32901, "typical_volume": 14155.3, "trend": 0.334, "fair_value": 0.188751, "relative_strength": -3.983625, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.386285, "energy": 13.532103, "activity_lines": [ 0.332, 0.332364, 0.33381, 0.334387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.33, "volume": 21701, "typical_volume": 13995.4, "trend": 0.334333, "fair_value": 0.189968, "relative_strength": -1.009737, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.344867, "energy": 25.995966, "activity_lines": [ 0.331333, 0.331818, 0.333333, 0.334129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }