{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "18bd790d-5b0d-47ed-955f-47a6272b152b",
    "symbol": "SILINV",
    "name": "SIL Investments Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 92.507,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -22.033,
    "architecture_energy": 9.965,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.851,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.276,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.57,
        "rotation_up": 24.76,
        "upward_expansion": 14.17,
        "deceleration": 38.52,
        "rotation_down": 31.21,
        "downward_expansion": 61.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        425.110868,
        422.368874,
        427.964828,
        428.781913
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 440.700012,
    "trend_reference": 431.905418,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.020362,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 512.967734,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.140882,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.846025,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.018595,
    "excess_performance": 0.025114,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020362,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083143,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140882,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068538,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09846,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001332,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018595,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.763896,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11548,
      "relative_activity": 1.270631,
      "balance": 0.763896,
      "dry_up": 1.127894,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059213,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.226961,
      "from_high_reference": -0.425424,
      "from_low_reference": 0.159737
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 431.905418,
      "fair_value_reference": 512.967734,
      "structural_low": 380.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.010578,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000568,
        "regime_survival": 0.590909,
        "best_return": 0.216799,
        "worst_return": -0.086476,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.064517,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007232,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.261219,
        "worst_return": -0.113974,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.039745,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002951,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.471188,
        "worst_return": -0.234297,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.189403,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.098915,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.331266,
        "worst_return": -0.302095,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.283998,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.154351,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.080016,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.134706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.170281,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.183385,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.073251,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041459,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089668,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.059742,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.083801,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.06934,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.094319,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.020993,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 20792.0,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 11538.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 414.950012,
        "volume": 6724,
        "typical_volume": 10939.6,
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        "fair_value": 511.456498,
        "relative_strength": -13.212702,
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        "energy": 30.603854,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 418.049988,
        "volume": 8268,
        "typical_volume": 10117.6,
        "trend": 433.525417,
        "fair_value": 512.119341,
        "relative_strength": -14.256284,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.497928,
        "energy": 27.396583,
        "activity_lines": [
          417.359151,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 440.700012,
        "volume": 11548,
        "typical_volume": 9088.4,
        "trend": 431.905418,
        "fair_value": 512.967734,
        "relative_strength": -9.846025,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.033216,
        "energy": 9.965369,
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          425.110868,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}