{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "18bd7e74-2e4d-412d-b27f-8d85ab89fb67",
    "symbol": "XHD",
    "name": "iShares U.S. High Dividend Equity Index ETF (CAD-Hedged)",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 85.904,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.418,
    "architecture_energy": 76.725,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.179,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.789,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.35,
        "rotation_up": 77.11,
        "upward_expansion": 92.61,
        "deceleration": 42.43,
        "rotation_down": 9.82,
        "downward_expansion": 16.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 41.080002,
    "trend_reference": 39.040473,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.052241,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.870783,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.178064,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.824647,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.048496,
    "excess_performance": -0.071925,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052241,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032204,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178064,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054515,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038246,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04126,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048496,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.07013,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6900,
      "relative_activity": 0.713916,
      "balance": 2.07013,
      "dry_up": 1.303673,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023103,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.126864,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028842,
      "from_low_reference": 0.187966
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.040473,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.870783,
      "structural_low": 37.871342,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.005239,
        "positive_rate": 0.606061,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.606061,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004407,
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        "worst_return": -0.062504,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "fair_value": 33.930158,
        "relative_strength": -8.149005,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 17.819389,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -5.90499,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 15752.75,
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        "fair_value": 34.047702,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 16355.0,
        "trend": 37.72444,
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        "relative_strength": -4.618262,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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        "trend": 37.822434,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -5.613093,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 6500,
        "typical_volume": 14545.0,
        "trend": 38.032331,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 34.481324,
        "relative_strength": -4.779523,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.150405,
        "energy": 40.241702,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 40.077938,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 10130.0,
        "trend": 38.294188,
        "fair_value": 34.548138,
        "relative_strength": -4.462323,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.07832,
        "energy": 54.728145,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 39.339268,
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        "typical_volume": 9875.0,
        "trend": 38.379447,
        "fair_value": 34.60933,
        "relative_strength": -6.049857,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.236141,
        "energy": 36.635183,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.417328,
        "volume": 7000,
        "typical_volume": 9280.0,
        "trend": 38.507925,
        "fair_value": 34.671089,
        "relative_strength": -3.112028,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.732114,
        "energy": 62.791225,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.8504,
          39.604508,
          39.224588,
          39.012568
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 41.036217,
        "volume": 22600,
        "typical_volume": 9265.0,
        "trend": 38.648362,
        "fair_value": 34.736003,
        "relative_strength": -1.683268,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.887304,
        "energy": 74.1018,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.318839,
          39.893177,
          39.423249,
          39.175684
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 41.110001,
        "volume": 13900,
        "typical_volume": 9650.0,
        "trend": 38.851844,
        "fair_value": 34.804761,
        "relative_strength": -0.869111,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.473551,
        "energy": 72.431497,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.646889,
          40.156631,
          39.618031,
          39.334499
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.080002,
        "volume": 6900,
        "typical_volume": 9665.0,
        "trend": 39.040473,
        "fair_value": 34.870783,
        "relative_strength": -3.824647,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.417867,
        "energy": 76.725375,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.874839,
          40.392064,
          39.798697,
          39.478251
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}