{ "ticker": { "uuid": "18c0d84a-c756-48dc-bd90-df537e7426be", "symbol": "TUG", "name": "STF TACTICAL GROWTH ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.96, "architecture_energy": 31.204, "architecture_maturity": 65.482, "architecture_confidence": 88.226, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.75, "rotation_up": 33.68, "upward_expansion": 58.98, "deceleration": 88.07, "rotation_down": 27.34, "downward_expansion": 20.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.749033, 45.843079, 45.466073, 44.108535 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 47.005, "trend_reference": 42.479904, "distance_from_trend": 0.106523, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.003401, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.382362, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.851326, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.197958, "excess_performance": 0.010504, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.106523, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051935, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.382362, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024758, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.008513, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017053, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.197958, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.240756, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12062, "relative_activity": 0.361764, "balance": 4.240756, "dry_up": 0.313657, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037916, "annualized_volatility": 0.205081, "from_high_reference": -0.020491, "from_low_reference": 0.309919 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.479904, "fair_value_reference": 34.003401, "structural_low": 35.93, "invalidation": "A 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41.506493, "fair_value": 33.373564, "relative_strength": -0.23765, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.292768, "energy": 54.147322, "activity_lines": [ 46.102156, 46.068655, 44.183796, 42.870434 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.84, "volume": 8675, "typical_volume": 33583.5, "trend": 41.749601, "fair_value": 33.505633, "relative_strength": 0.21853, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.51029, "energy": 55.643985, "activity_lines": [ 46.36148, 46.265197, 44.609884, 43.214532 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 45.2899, "volume": 4879, "typical_volume": 33015.75, "trend": 41.935277, "fair_value": 33.628553, "relative_strength": 1.092849, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.123259, "energy": 40.351089, "activity_lines": [ 45.993395, 46.11276, 44.85169, 43.442938 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.5509, "volume": 5367, "typical_volume": 32408.75, "trend": 42.078324, "fair_value": 33.745061, "relative_strength": 1.042382, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.89225, "energy": 31.685828, "activity_lines": [ 45.441367, 45.82904, 44.993393, 43.611688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.0345, "volume": 19524, "typical_volume": 32847.75, "trend": 42.26004, "fair_value": 33.867302, "relative_strength": 1.558093, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.25966, "energy": 25.416298, "activity_lines": [ 45.248387, 45.649038, 45.152307, 43.802409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.005, "volume": 12062, "typical_volume": 33342.15, "trend": 42.479904, "fair_value": 34.003401, "relative_strength": 0.851326, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.959732, "energy": 31.204162, "activity_lines": [ 45.749033, 45.843079, 45.466073, 44.108535 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }