{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "18c99599-8ae3-4195-b207-26199a0ad55f",
    "symbol": "SHALBY",
    "name": "Shalby Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 5.089,
    "architecture_energy": 15.484,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.501,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.145,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 68.72,
        "rotation_up": 18.63,
        "upward_expansion": 42.75,
        "deceleration": 83.25,
        "rotation_down": 39.0,
        "downward_expansion": 32.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        162.459332,
        165.707454,
        165.850904,
        162.81658
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 160.089996,
    "trend_reference": 161.185666,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.006798,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 226.465701,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.293094,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.10731,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.07989,
    "excess_performance": -0.036181,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006798,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073851,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.293094,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037623,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131073,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040136,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07989,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.2261,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 452560,
      "relative_activity": 1.322155,
      "balance": 0.2261,
      "dry_up": 0.909239,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.060331,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.326336,
      "from_high_reference": -0.417219,
      "from_low_reference": 0.272373
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 161.185666,
      "fair_value_reference": 226.465701,
      "structural_low": 125.82,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.03978,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.049354,
        "regime_survival": 0.5625,
        "best_return": 0.23462,
        "worst_return": -0.17672,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.005827,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008618,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.414407,
        "worst_return": -0.210334,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.07201,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.170216,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.422649,
        "worst_return": -0.251884,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.214165,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.171102,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.671713,
        "worst_return": -0.305755,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.195432,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004688,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.117856,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.182839,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008914,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.079599,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039779,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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        "close": 161.020004,
        "volume": 392771,
        "typical_volume": 682869.9,
        "trend": 191.227333,
        "fair_value": 226.053865,
        "relative_strength": -14.433745,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.499201,
        "energy": 44.296031,
        "activity_lines": [
          149.401332,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 155.600006,
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        "typical_volume": 672858.25,
        "trend": 188.176333,
        "fair_value": 226.135482,
        "relative_strength": -15.455655,
        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 671213.8,
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        "fair_value": 226.267933,
        "relative_strength": -12.858055,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 27.127698,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 414161,
        "typical_volume": 652776.55,
        "trend": 181.875,
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        "relative_strength": -9.093683,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 158.119995,
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        "typical_volume": 630909.45,
        "trend": 178.937333,
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        "relative_strength": -12.583711,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 18.265663,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 170.929993,
        "volume": 411046,
        "typical_volume": 622822.9,
        "trend": 176.455,
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        "relative_strength": -5.589838,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 631679.4,
        "trend": 174.038666,
        "fair_value": 226.98596,
        "relative_strength": -5.985178,
        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 173.800003,
        "volume": 62352,
        "typical_volume": 614742.6,
        "trend": 171.981667,
        "fair_value": 227.199787,
        "relative_strength": -2.505014,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 7.75071,
        "energy": 19.669716,
        "activity_lines": [
          169.457999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 168.929993,
        "volume": 63938,
        "typical_volume": 582101.55,
        "trend": 170.118333,
        "fair_value": 227.313242,
        "relative_strength": -6.233145,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 168.572,
        "fair_value": 227.343012,
        "relative_strength": -6.683357,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 172.149994,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 167.346,
        "fair_value": 227.372107,
        "relative_strength": -6.133841,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.74856,
        "energy": 24.945536,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 172.220001,
        "volume": 64823,
        "typical_volume": 469406.1,
        "trend": 166.466666,
        "fair_value": 227.326787,
        "relative_strength": -6.876322,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.561036,
        "energy": 25.382738,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 171.559998,
        "volume": 340109,
        "typical_volume": 449944.15,
        "trend": 165.735333,
        "fair_value": 227.229653,
        "relative_strength": -6.951277,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.189846,
        "energy": 27.783518,
        "activity_lines": [
          171.579999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 163.990005,
        "volume": 378828,
        "typical_volume": 438360.5,
        "trend": 164.552333,
        "fair_value": 227.083042,
        "relative_strength": -11.27641,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.037123,
        "energy": 14.73393,
        "activity_lines": [
          169.198001,
          169.780545,
          165.515476,
          163.121355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 163.100006,
        "volume": 197619,
        "typical_volume": 397267.25,
        "trend": 163.314,
        "fair_value": 226.885363,
        "relative_strength": -9.310284,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.335147,
        "energy": 9.114786,
        "activity_lines": [
          166.848669,
          168.683638,
          165.829762,
          163.027656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 161.899994,
        "volume": 215886,
        "typical_volume": 347511.75,
        "trend": 161.947666,
        "fair_value": 226.675867,
        "relative_strength": -11.86394,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.567241,
        "energy": 19.119497,
        "activity_lines": [
          164.614,
          167.278,
          165.969095,
          162.93643
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 160.089996,
        "volume": 452560,
        "typical_volume": 342289.8,
        "trend": 161.185666,
        "fair_value": 226.465701,
        "relative_strength": -13.10731,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.089418,
        "energy": 15.483625,
        "activity_lines": [
          162.459332,
          165.707454,
          165.850904,
          162.81658
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}