{ "ticker": { "uuid": "18cd481b-df18-4bd8-afe0-0c2b04fa590c", "symbol": "BOMDYEING", "name": "The Bombay Dyeing and Manufacturing Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 85.987, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.948, "architecture_energy": 20.226, "architecture_maturity": 21.819, "architecture_confidence": 72.439, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.84, "rotation_up": 16.94, "upward_expansion": 51.49, "deceleration": 92.89, "rotation_down": 37.83, "downward_expansion": 19.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 121.919112, 124.731698, 124.402554, 121.264773 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 120.230003, "trend_reference": 118.31191, "distance_from_trend": 0.016212, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 158.614722, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.242, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.154106, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.004596, "excess_performance": 0.048305, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016212, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032728, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.242, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107134, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.101541, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082172, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.004596, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.647707, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3182294, "relative_activity": 0.713162, "balance": 0.647707, "dry_up": 0.490995, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063242, "annualized_volatility": 0.364603, "from_high_reference": -0.384855, "from_low_reference": 0.306848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 118.31191, "fair_value_reference": 158.614722, "structural_low": 92.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.004016, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.005154, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.257365, "worst_return": -0.175318, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.00777, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.007717, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.298224, "worst_return": -0.399375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.017786, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032392, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.338627, "worst_return": -0.269169, "sufficient": 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"gate": "up", "direction": 43.591122, "energy": 28.788584, "activity_lines": [ 128.038402, 128.071488, 123.915588, 120.81842 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 121.302124, "volume": 2580326, "typical_volume": 4735649.85, "trend": 118.715243, "fair_value": 158.55133, "relative_strength": -7.374602, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.003128, "energy": 19.107069, "activity_lines": [ 125.274766, 126.962871, 124.177337, 120.967212 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 121.529999, "volume": 1143089, "typical_volume": 4536971.65, "trend": 118.432577, "fair_value": 158.618363, "relative_strength": -9.017955, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.727734, "energy": 20.293085, "activity_lines": [ 123.50028, 125.923284, 124.392493, 121.14881 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 120.230003, "volume": 3182294, "typical_volume": 4462232.75, "trend": 118.31191, "fair_value": 158.614722, "relative_strength": -10.154106, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.947589, "energy": 20.225866, "activity_lines": [ 121.919112, 124.731698, 124.402554, 121.264773 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }