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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 48.367, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.044, "architecture_energy": 46.576, "architecture_maturity": 60.137, "architecture_confidence": 59.763, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.55, "rotation_up": 51.36, "upward_expansion": 58.81, "deceleration": 65.5, "rotation_down": 33.33, "downward_expansion": 22.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.344, 0.343818, 0.344214, 0.34414 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.345, "trend_reference": 0.340163, "distance_from_trend": 0.014219, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.184448, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.870447, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.944742, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.154835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014219, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147743, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.870447, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.258627, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.019447, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232428, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.878446, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2000, "relative_activity": 0.206186, "balance": 0.878446, "dry_up": 1.858247, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00223, "annualized_volatility": 0.029198, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.64364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.340163, "fair_value_reference": 0.184448, "structural_low": 0.34, "invalidation": "A sustained 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16095.0, "trend": 0.322418, "fair_value": 0.177564, "relative_strength": 6.053983, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.411265, "energy": 73.534085, "activity_lines": [ 0.343333, 0.344091, 0.344524, 0.340326 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.34, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16095.0, "trend": 0.326653, "fair_value": 0.179267, "relative_strength": 4.881781, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -11.448804, "energy": 62.764393, "activity_lines": [ 0.342, 0.343273, 0.344071, 0.34146 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.345, "volume": 70100, "typical_volume": 9600.0, "trend": 0.331157, "fair_value": 0.181002, "relative_strength": 4.568232, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.387525, "energy": 59.619593, "activity_lines": [ 0.342667, 0.343455, 0.344119, 0.342644 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.345, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9600.0, "trend": 0.33566, "fair_value": 0.182722, "relative_strength": 3.533225, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.227584, "energy": 49.292788, "activity_lines": [ 0.343333, 0.343636, 0.344167, 0.343537 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.345, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 9700.0, "trend": 0.340163, "fair_value": 0.184448, "relative_strength": 1.944742, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.044413, "energy": 46.575823, "activity_lines": [ 0.344, 0.343818, 0.344214, 0.34414 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }