{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "18d25c88-8f75-4fcc-8330-67e4ad164ad9",
    "symbol": "600857",
    "name": "Ningbo Zhongbai Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 38.51,
    "architecture_energy": 20.169,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.177,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.805,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.94,
        "rotation_up": 30.85,
        "upward_expansion": 64.5,
        "deceleration": 85.49,
        "rotation_down": 29.08,
        "downward_expansion": 16.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.216,
        17.742364,
        16.504766,
        15.524232
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 17.85,
    "trend_reference": 14.567933,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.225294,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.323585,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.72905,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 21.939576,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.297242,
    "excess_performance": 0.340446,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.225294,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055583,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.72905,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.411157,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.219396,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.323411,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.297242,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.537754,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 30852912,
      "relative_activity": 0.815811,
      "balance": 1.537754,
      "dry_up": 1.429058,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.169401,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.5203,
      "from_high_reference": -0.263614,
      "from_low_reference": 0.611336
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.567933,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.323585,
      "structural_low": 11.077766,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.04727,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058366,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.126071,
        "worst_return": -0.086609,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.042615,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.076936,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.172583,
        "worst_return": -0.161892,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.006515,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007425,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.553243,
        "worst_return": -0.193676,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.448886,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.351116,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.74541,
        "worst_return": 0.152363,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-15",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.012821,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.092184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.135337,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.094946,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.609783,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.043316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 33483732.85,
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        "fair_value": 10.195352,
        "relative_strength": 38.538766,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 66.494464,
        "energy": 74.074938,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.82,
        "volume": 62298602,
        "typical_volume": 35673660.65,
        "trend": 14.395246,
        "fair_value": 10.240791,
        "relative_strength": 19.586492,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.590921,
        "energy": 52.782857,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.772,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.03,
        "volume": 36789476,
        "typical_volume": 36892134.3,
        "trend": 14.428607,
        "fair_value": 10.273685,
        "relative_strength": 6.134342,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.995807,
        "energy": 28.123573,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.429334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.85,
        "volume": 30852912,
        "typical_volume": 37818684.35,
        "trend": 14.567933,
        "fair_value": 10.323585,
        "relative_strength": 21.939576,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.509991,
        "energy": 20.168954,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.216,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}