{ "ticker": { "uuid": "18d7a88c-46d6-4650-a702-27ac08fb170d", "symbol": "GREAVESCOT", "name": "Greaves Cotton Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.057, "architecture_energy": 52.457, "architecture_maturity": 62.398, "architecture_confidence": 73.888, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.95, "rotation_up": 51.86, "upward_expansion": 82.18, "deceleration": 68.64, "rotation_down": 26.5, "downward_expansion": 8.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 229.048161, 227.585253, 207.943383, 193.144327 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 198.850006, "trend_reference": 178.402105, "distance_from_trend": 0.114617, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 178.107029, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.116464, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.972116, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.17858, "excess_performance": 0.222289, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.114617, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054457, "read": "Rising" 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119.989998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.046084, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.060338, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.490888, "worst_return": -0.183337, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.129883, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.111111, "median_excess_return": -0.171487, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.528254, "worst_return": -0.209119, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.154048, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.212968, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.49288, "worst_return": -0.413288, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.043001, "energy": 92.75973, "activity_lines": [ 238.693907, 219.028141, 194.783647, 183.265149 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 244.317322, "volume": 7457563, "typical_volume": 6551425.35, "trend": 176.154105, "fair_value": 177.023312, "relative_strength": 34.775026, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.218977, "energy": 88.365237, "activity_lines": [ 243.832624, 226.383912, 201.260936, 187.78292 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 238.050003, "volume": 4552138, "typical_volume": 6477870.05, "trend": 177.644105, "fair_value": 177.664455, "relative_strength": 27.715725, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.014485, "energy": 81.19249, "activity_lines": [ 243.830414, 231.171855, 206.711635, 191.776204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 198.850006, "volume": 24129437, "typical_volume": 7408066.2, "trend": 178.402105, "fair_value": 178.107029, "relative_strength": 5.972116, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.056729, "energy": 52.456555, "activity_lines": [ 229.048161, 227.585253, 207.943383, 193.144327 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }