{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "18e1812e-9c5c-4725-a63b-1c0ee022452e",
    "symbol": "CCE",
    "name": "Carnegie Clean Energy Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.591,
    "architecture_energy": 50.419,
    "architecture_maturity": 70.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.451,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.69,
        "rotation_up": 60.36,
        "upward_expansion": 80.54,
        "deceleration": 68.64,
        "rotation_down": 18.56,
        "downward_expansion": 7.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.229333,
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        0.174457,
        0.145047
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.19,
    "trend_reference": 0.1127,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.685892,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.067016,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.835143,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 85.387001,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 2.015873,
    "excess_performance": 1.952167,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.685892,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.630183,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.835143,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.784107,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.85387,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.949114,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.015873,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.371845,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4247579,
      "relative_activity": 1.267395,
      "balance": 3.371845,
      "dry_up": 2.11146,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.335628,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.678652,
      "from_high_reference": -0.479452,
      "from_low_reference": 2.653846
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.1127,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.067016,
      "structural_low": 0.052,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003451,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.982759,
        "worst_return": -0.313043,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.07254,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.220339,
        "worst_return": -0.42,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.114831,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.177048,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.45,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.61,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3203187,
        "typical_volume": 2253046.85,
        "trend": 0.0958,
        "fair_value": 0.063619,
        "relative_strength": 158.804804,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 78.491539,
        "energy": 69.726595,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.207,
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          0.11797
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 11738760,
        "typical_volume": 2778006.05,
        "trend": 0.105333,
        "fair_value": 0.065381,
        "relative_strength": 278.96353,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 95.328964,
        "energy": 77.222303,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.259,
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          0.162571,
          0.13437
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.19,
        "volume": 9116056,
        "typical_volume": 3163710.1,
        "trend": 0.109167,
        "fair_value": 0.066279,
        "relative_strength": 95.699053,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.343025,
        "energy": 58.834293,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.246333,
          0.218727,
          0.16881,
          0.139832
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.19,
        "volume": 4247579,
        "typical_volume": 3351423.5,
        "trend": 0.1127,
        "fair_value": 0.067016,
        "relative_strength": 85.387001,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.591183,
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        "activity_lines": [
          0.229333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}