{ "ticker": { "uuid": "18e5692c-67e9-49c1-a1f7-e19cb94ba6b0", "symbol": "NWS", "name": "News Corp B", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 64.945, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.831, "architecture_energy": 58.553, "architecture_maturity": 14.582, "architecture_confidence": 70.294, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.22, "rotation_up": 67.68, "upward_expansion": 87.21, "deceleration": 43.8, "rotation_down": 12.47, "downward_expansion": 11.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.578, 30.94, 30.47619, 29.902593 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 32.45, "trend_reference": 29.30607, "distance_from_trend": 0.107279, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.505114, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.138392, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.696525, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.269719, "excess_performance": 0.082266, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107279, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010667, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.138392, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003218, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056965, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098503, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.269719, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.934541, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7120402, "relative_activity": 0.951785, "balance": 0.934541, "dry_up": 0.751782, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067121, "annualized_volatility": 0.236139, "from_high_reference": -0.080997, "from_low_reference": 0.277689 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.30607, "fair_value_reference": 28.505114, "structural_low": 25.39741, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.005314, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.021518, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.123102, "worst_return": -0.149686, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.000418, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021068, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.229117, "worst_return": -0.111265, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.020972, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.092118, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.247945, "worst_return": -0.233547, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.632274, "energy": 23.51543, "activity_lines": [ 29.885333, 29.864364, 29.673483, 29.276722 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.42, "volume": 5800707, "typical_volume": 7714052.8, "trend": 29.159525, "fair_value": 28.289699, "relative_strength": -3.659898, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.612634, "energy": 53.944826, "activity_lines": [ 30.836, 30.312, 29.985949, 29.492964 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.19, "volume": 4444464, "typical_volume": 7576921.9, "trend": 29.173809, "fair_value": 28.359948, "relative_strength": -8.278128, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.518375, "energy": 49.256232, "activity_lines": [ 30.832667, 30.334, 30.058714, 29.559446 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.27, "volume": 5131062, "typical_volume": 7566349.2, "trend": 29.227413, "fair_value": 28.433107, "relative_strength": -4.969354, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.631562, "energy": 52.487019, "activity_lines": [ 31.093333, 30.544182, 30.222, 29.694684 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.45, "volume": 7120402, "typical_volume": 7481104.65, "trend": 29.30607, "fair_value": 28.505114, "relative_strength": -5.696525, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.831117, "energy": 58.55329, "activity_lines": [ 31.578, 30.94, 30.47619, 29.902593 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }