{ "ticker": { "uuid": "18eeb359-d4d6-4854-8669-eef267d0fcd2", "symbol": "BIOM3", "name": "Biomm S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.057, "architecture_energy": 58.618, "architecture_maturity": 19.92, "architecture_confidence": 87.509, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.0, "rotation_up": 14.47, "upward_expansion": 10.4, "deceleration": 45.25, "rotation_down": 68.67, "downward_expansion": 86.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.918, 6.068364, 6.489762, 6.657419 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.07, "trend_reference": 6.737, "distance_from_trend": -0.099005, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.45198, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.281825, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.824237, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.009983, "excess_performance": 0.067032, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099005, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059997, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.281825, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17139, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.208242, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01943, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.009983, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.044225, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 185700, "relative_activity": 0.073339, "balance": 0.044225, "dry_up": 0.068205, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08364, "annualized_volatility": 0.358025, "from_high_reference": -0.415784, "from_low_reference": 0.259336 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.737, "fair_value_reference": 8.45198, "structural_low": 4.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.018375, "positive_rate": 0.457143, "directional_follow_through": 0.542857, "median_excess_return": -0.022404, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.544503, "worst_return": -0.262887, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.056897, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.043855, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.496063, "worst_return": -0.438881, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.027397, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.085511, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.327303, "worst_return": -0.487214, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.018571, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.180822, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.337675, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.029333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.361032, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.363057, "energy": 77.081263, "activity_lines": [ 6.100667, 6.300727, 6.704714, 6.78729 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.51, "volume": 308500, "typical_volume": 2538445.0, "trend": 6.77, "fair_value": 8.45047, "relative_strength": -30.875977, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.361923, "energy": 80.195414, "activity_lines": [ 5.894667, 6.117818, 6.567143, 6.702581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.07, "volume": 185700, "typical_volume": 2532065.0, "trend": 6.737, "fair_value": 8.45198, "relative_strength": -20.824237, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.057221, "energy": 58.617771, "activity_lines": [ 5.918, 6.068364, 6.489762, 6.657419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }