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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.255, "architecture_energy": 53.714, "architecture_maturity": 66.707, "architecture_confidence": 57.343, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.14, "rotation_up": 45.57, "upward_expansion": 73.42, "deceleration": 73.85, "rotation_down": 27.67, "downward_expansion": 13.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 315.413335, 314.977578, 297.789538, 287.902267 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 321.700012, "trend_reference": 278.138767, "distance_from_trend": 0.156617, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 187.523728, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.715516, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.416523, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.191301, "excess_performance": 0.126661, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.156617, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06588, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.715516, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.202247, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.114165, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089228, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.191301, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.908671, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3436, "relative_activity": 0.788055, "balance": 0.908671, "dry_up": 1.032258, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050422, "annualized_volatility": 0.326723, "from_high_reference": -0.043129, "from_low_reference": 0.426675 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 278.138767, "fair_value_reference": 187.523728, "structural_low": 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"close": 312.6, "volume": 5113, "typical_volume": 4538.7, "trend": 276.566546, "fair_value": 185.98667, "relative_strength": 11.669753, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.519423, "energy": 52.271835, "activity_lines": [ 313.535329, 312.199641, 293.726031, 284.990431 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 321.700012, "volume": 3436, "typical_volume": 4360.1, "trend": 278.138767, "fair_value": 187.523728, "relative_strength": 11.416523, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.254862, "energy": 53.714191, "activity_lines": [ 315.413335, 314.977578, 297.789538, 287.902267 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }