{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1907bec8-1e37-41dc-b4da-a1383d4fba51",
    "symbol": "FDX",
    "name": "FedEx Corporation",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 30.387,
    "architecture_energy": 16.555,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.344,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.68,
        "rotation_up": 19.98,
        "upward_expansion": 52.48,
        "deceleration": 93.6,
        "rotation_down": 30.07,
        "downward_expansion": 20.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        274.019996,
        276.493127,
        275.073409,
        270.063318
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 274.399994,
    "trend_reference": 260.801971,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.052139,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 195.369672,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.404517,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 13.306216,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.116245,
    "excess_performance": 0.051605,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052139,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126024,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.404517,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015821,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133062,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.187651,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116245,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.7277,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 80,
      "relative_activity": 0.229325,
      "balance": 3.7277,
      "dry_up": 0.414935,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.036737,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.197088,
      "from_high_reference": -0.055591,
      "from_low_reference": 0.841108
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 260.801971,
      "fair_value_reference": 195.369672,
      "structural_low": 237.415222,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.007101,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035049,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.172804,
        "worst_return": -0.130372,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.061716,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008652,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.095346,
        "worst_return": -0.275686,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.080026,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0736,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.416169,
        "worst_return": -0.229832,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.03402,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.137524,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.187665,
        "worst_return": -0.072691,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083809,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.103172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038659,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.093584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.048895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": -0.064869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.061984,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "return": 0.021469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 491.1,
        "trend": 250.856548,
        "fair_value": 192.902415,
        "relative_strength": 23.480296,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 47.15416,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 277.200012,
        "volume": 132,
        "typical_volume": 480.5,
        "trend": 253.832715,
        "fair_value": 193.558615,
        "relative_strength": 24.64381,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.528179,
        "energy": 32.539932,
        "activity_lines": [
          277.491998,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 278.799988,
        "volume": 176,
        "typical_volume": 455.6,
        "trend": 256.482548,
        "fair_value": 194.182241,
        "relative_strength": 22.844676,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.331095,
        "energy": 25.988448,
        "activity_lines": [
          277.426662,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 268.3,
        "volume": 191,
        "typical_volume": 402.45,
        "trend": 258.783713,
        "fair_value": 194.759974,
        "relative_strength": 14.758713,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.718744,
        "energy": 18.094843,
        "activity_lines": [
          274.21333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 274.399994,
        "volume": 80,
        "typical_volume": 348.85,
        "trend": 260.801971,
        "fair_value": 195.369672,
        "relative_strength": 13.306216,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.387018,
        "energy": 16.554535,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}