{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19117347-adc4-4463-856b-46ae3fb11398", "symbol": "603066", "name": "Nanjing Inform Storage Equipment (Group) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.187, "architecture_energy": 80.581, "architecture_maturity": 19.517, "architecture_confidence": 84.341, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.97, "rotation_up": 8.39, "upward_expansion": 19.21, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 75.88, "downward_expansion": 92.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.915333, 9.397203, 10.039481, 10.242313 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.99, "trend_reference": 10.501949, "distance_from_trend": -0.143968, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.734714, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.16253, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.528875, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.187161, "excess_performance": -0.143957, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.143968, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036955, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.16253, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.259681, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.165289, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124904, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.187161, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.650161, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21955763, "relative_activity": 0.909807, "balance": 0.650161, "dry_up": 1.126475, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086415, "annualized_volatility": 0.375481, "from_high_reference": -0.284236, "from_low_reference": 0.080529 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.501949, "fair_value_reference": 10.734714, "structural_low": 8.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.025908, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.009706, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.181435, "worst_return": -0.083333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.050326, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.031419, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.38326, "worst_return": -0.073306, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.181154, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.151281, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.281858, "worst_return": 0.017125, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 10.401076, 10.707012, 10.738587, 10.759308 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.1, "volume": 22819300, "typical_volume": 21541906.65, "trend": 10.753282, "fair_value": 10.794645, "relative_strength": -10.322589, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.314529, "energy": 46.631381, "activity_lines": [ 10.289067, 10.543954, 10.679737, 10.714881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.12, "volume": 35502002, "typical_volume": 22725301.9, "trend": 10.704282, "fair_value": 10.778889, "relative_strength": -13.431269, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.385278, "energy": 64.772126, "activity_lines": [ 9.896667, 10.229288, 10.531887, 10.609508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.4, "volume": 30427276, "typical_volume": 23222413.4, "trend": 10.626616, "fair_value": 10.759515, "relative_strength": -20.633504, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.57159, "energy": 79.23601, "activity_lines": [ 9.338667, 9.833543, 10.325704, 10.460844 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.81, "volume": 20852763, "typical_volume": 23671191.55, "trend": 10.560616, "fair_value": 10.744717, "relative_strength": -16.522809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.308526, "energy": 81.083312, "activity_lines": [ 9.064, 9.572183, 10.169854, 10.343643 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.99, "volume": 21955763, "typical_volume": 24132319.7, "trend": 10.501949, "fair_value": 10.734714, "relative_strength": -16.528875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.186594, "energy": 80.581209, "activity_lines": [ 8.915333, 9.397203, 10.039481, 10.242313 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }