{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1918e4cd-5d17-42c0-a068-f48122b68052", "symbol": "CRL", "name": "Charles River Laboratories", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.019, "architecture_energy": 80.816, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.906, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.67, "rotation_up": 79.28, "upward_expansion": 92.18, "deceleration": 45.38, "rotation_down": 11.59, "downward_expansion": 16.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 241.956, 230.524545, 208.753238, 198.083011 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 267.49, "trend_reference": 190.451667, "distance_from_trend": 0.404503, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 190.35891, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.405188, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 29.539928, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.41372, "excess_performance": 0.288095, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.404503, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055729, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.405188, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.471953, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.295399, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.369448, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.41372, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.524269, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5457057, "relative_activity": 1.284416, "balance": 3.524269, "dry_up": 1.076459, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084485, "annualized_volatility": 0.564146, "from_high_reference": -0.001903, "from_low_reference": 0.854222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 190.451667, "fair_value_reference": 190.35891, "structural_low": 146.195, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.022797, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.034614, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.175495, "worst_return": -0.265589, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.194633, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.16892, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.262542, "worst_return": -0.23607, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.127132, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.244438, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.016809, "worst_return": -0.173557, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"mixed", "direction": 41.965636, "energy": 53.250426, "activity_lines": [ 194.978, 183.915273, 177.229667, 178.942753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 230.69, "volume": 4084538, "typical_volume": 4528091.6, "trend": 184.876333, "fair_value": 189.470769, "relative_strength": 18.371189, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 59.436477, "energy": 71.983756, "activity_lines": [ 208.520667, 193.592364, 182.726238, 181.998215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 233.41, "volume": 3705370, "typical_volume": 4306674.75, "trend": 186.222333, "fair_value": 189.636474, "relative_strength": 17.714495, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.280385, "energy": 76.207105, "activity_lines": [ 219.638, 202.656909, 188.151667, 185.129419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 224.35, "volume": 4357187, "typical_volume": 4220480.0, "trend": 187.132, "fair_value": 189.751667, "relative_strength": 14.476309, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.090385, "energy": 82.209479, "activity_lines": [ 224.264, 208.844545, 192.407143, 187.589269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 226.58, "volume": 4000138, "typical_volume": 4190857.3, "trend": 187.896, "fair_value": 189.854808, "relative_strength": 16.077491, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.366825, "energy": 80.374773, "activity_lines": [ 227.177333, 214.588, 196.656619, 190.134301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 232.51, "volume": 4479688, "typical_volume": 4173342.4, "trend": 188.899, "fair_value": 190.018974, "relative_strength": 17.48337, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.001013, "energy": 73.618952, "activity_lines": [ 229.295333, 220.032727, 201.222667, 193.012624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 267.49, "volume": 5457057, "typical_volume": 4248668.4, "trend": 190.451667, "fair_value": 190.35891, "relative_strength": 29.539928, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.019063, "energy": 80.815948, "activity_lines": [ 241.956, 230.524545, 208.753238, 198.083011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }