{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1923edc2-ce9d-4226-9982-745e38a79bad", "symbol": "IQV", "name": "IQVIA Holdings Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 51.439, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 72.102, "architecture_energy": 90.188, "architecture_maturity": 30.666, "architecture_confidence": 83.729, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.87, "rotation_up": 87.27, "upward_expansion": 72.0, "deceleration": 18.0, "rotation_down": 16.0, "downward_expansion": 28.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 3744.72793, 3486.989791, 3249.21629, 3206.832429 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 4047.879883, "trend_reference": 3282.103312, "distance_from_trend": 0.233319, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3735.230843, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.083703, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.160954, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.1592, "excess_performance": 0.213867, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.233319, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056798, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.083703, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.275848, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.14161, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.340597, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.1592, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.261168, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 3.261168, "dry_up": 3.641596, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029617, "annualized_volatility": 0.4171, "from_high_reference": -0.056783, "from_low_reference": 0.405514 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3282.103312, "fair_value_reference": 3735.230843, "structural_low": 2880.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.009242, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.230359, "worst_return": -0.129444, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.037187, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.029695, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.105356, "worst_return": -0.261164, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.045581, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.064503, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.125159, "worst_return": -0.166968, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 65.15, "trend": 3282.103312, "fair_value": 3735.230843, "relative_strength": 14.160954, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 72.101939, "energy": 90.18793, "activity_lines": [ 3744.72793, 3486.989791, 3249.21629, 3206.832429 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }