{ "ticker": { "uuid": "192cf646-baf2-44d6-9208-5298d22ebd92", "symbol": "AOTG", "name": "AOT GROWTH AND INNOVATION ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.043, "architecture_energy": 24.663, "architecture_maturity": 60.954, "architecture_confidence": 82.694, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.73, "rotation_up": 32.99, "upward_expansion": 60.43, "deceleration": 85.2, "rotation_down": 26.95, "downward_expansion": 19.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.958427, 62.302502, 61.391455, 59.056137 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 63.5756, "trend_reference": 56.486917, "distance_from_trend": 0.125492, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.951053, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.41433, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.036165, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.258918, "excess_performance": 0.071464, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.125492, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040962, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.41433, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018039, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.000362, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03653, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.258918, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.938273, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26510, "relative_activity": 0.990685, "balance": 0.938273, "dry_up": 0.812448, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062865, "annualized_volatility": 0.28912, "from_high_reference": -0.052313, "from_low_reference": 0.406229 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.486917, "fair_value_reference": 44.951053, "structural_low": 45.21, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.135662, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.173871, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.093615, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.061342, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.090024, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 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51.840657, "activity_lines": [ 62.926513, 62.403782, 59.017721, 57.050808 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 64.9893, "volume": 22099, "typical_volume": 30145.05, "trend": 55.80705, "fair_value": 44.182457, "relative_strength": 1.523942, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.008717, "energy": 55.241018, "activity_lines": [ 63.717947, 63.02846, 59.882206, 57.663561 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 60.7323, "volume": 12839, "typical_volume": 27929.9, "trend": 55.96249, "fair_value": 44.367342, "relative_strength": -0.905462, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.26657, "energy": 42.615625, "activity_lines": [ 62.827567, 62.735707, 60.272301, 57.981319 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.4575, "volume": 29623, "typical_volume": 26529.75, "trend": 56.07774, "fair_value": 44.547126, "relative_strength": 0.332126, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.562672, "energy": 32.074972, "activity_lines": [ 61.916467, 62.391289, 60.583513, 58.27132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.918, "volume": 17990, "typical_volume": 26020.65, "trend": 56.251203, "fair_value": 44.737049, "relative_strength": 0.605269, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.575572, "energy": 25.191887, "activity_lines": [ 61.4422, 62.113587, 60.889598, 58.583595 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.5756, "volume": 26510, "typical_volume": 26759.25, "trend": 56.486917, "fair_value": 44.951053, "relative_strength": -0.036165, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.043179, "energy": 24.662868, "activity_lines": [ 61.958427, 62.302502, 61.391455, 59.056137 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }