{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19318e1d-ded3-46f5-8ad9-29d069aa2c70", "symbol": "4549", "name": "FineTek Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 67.787, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.844, "architecture_energy": 19.724, "architecture_maturity": 14.269, "architecture_confidence": 62.217, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.0, "rotation_up": 24.88, "upward_expansion": 10.6, "deceleration": 52.24, "rotation_down": 52.93, "downward_expansion": 49.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.54764, 94.602782, 97.978111, 97.711221 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 98.099998, "trend_reference": 97.859207, "distance_from_trend": 0.002461, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 112.333855, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.12671, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -34.96813, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.013883, "excess_performance": -0.427489, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002461, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041999, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.12671, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04621, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.349681, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103354, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.013883, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.557575, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 533238, "relative_activity": 0.360911, "balance": 0.557575, "dry_up": 0.352328, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10877, "annualized_volatility": 0.434345, "from_high_reference": -0.305933, "from_low_reference": 0.183353 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.859207, "fair_value_reference": 112.333855, "structural_low": 82.900002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.006816, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.049963, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.116503, "worst_return": -0.106557, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.078586, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.213317, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.115236, "worst_return": -0.300885, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.050192, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.174433, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.165928, "worst_return": -0.215385, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -38.675021, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.773965, "energy": 30.200421, "activity_lines": [ 94.260433, 98.582821, 99.278883, 98.704168 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.5, "volume": 719186, "typical_volume": 1472724.5, "trend": 98.448937, "fair_value": 112.147137, "relative_strength": -37.974582, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.515263, "energy": 34.567774, "activity_lines": [ 93.011316, 96.629573, 98.677796, 98.224778 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 90.300003, "volume": 460132, "typical_volume": 1475389.5, "trend": 97.91119, "fair_value": 112.209162, "relative_strength": -39.189291, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.684774, "energy": 40.004869, "activity_lines": [ 91.667497, 94.632885, 97.961194, 97.69904 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 98.099998, "volume": 533238, "typical_volume": 1477479.75, "trend": 97.859207, "fair_value": 112.333855, "relative_strength": -34.96813, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.843894, "energy": 19.723782, "activity_lines": [ 93.54764, 94.602782, 97.978111, 97.711221 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }