{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "194158c3-6ad7-4050-8574-58966674a678",
    "symbol": "SNI",
    "name": "Stolt-Nielsen Limited",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 65.173,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 14.688,
    "architecture_energy": 33.189,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.199,
    "architecture_confidence": 46.049,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.08,
        "rotation_up": 54.5,
        "upward_expansion": 45.72,
        "deceleration": 24.19,
        "rotation_down": 18.96,
        "downward_expansion": 23.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        318.966667,
        314.263636,
        310.02201,
        310.681108
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 314.0,
    "trend_reference": 313.222446,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.002482,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 330.446779,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.049771,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -13.060374,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.05718,
    "excess_performance": -0.067813,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002482,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020486,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049771,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018229,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.130604,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022181,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05718,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.967141,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 125439,
      "relative_activity": 0.70311,
      "balance": 0.967141,
      "dry_up": 0.759648,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053283,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.270516,
      "from_high_reference": -0.11862,
      "from_low_reference": 0.111504
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 313.222446,
      "fair_value_reference": 330.446779,
      "structural_low": 282.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.019939,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01906,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.108664,
        "worst_return": -0.088722,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.080442,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.050996,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.241055,
        "worst_return": -0.061266,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.182942,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.135231,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.055334,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.357227,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.20178,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.545189,
        "worst_return": 0.169265,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.193069,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018072,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007673,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.344481,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003767,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02526,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.033175,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.054773,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.070552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.0625,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 24.71765,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 328.046457,
        "relative_strength": -16.227357,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 227584.5,
        "trend": 313.796154,
        "fair_value": 328.511867,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -14.982135,
        "energy": 9.491862,
        "activity_lines": [
          306.5,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 318.0,
        "volume": 121170,
        "typical_volume": 217654.4,
        "trend": 313.498903,
        "fair_value": 329.042409,
        "relative_strength": -9.689987,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -6.437936,
        "energy": 7.616861,
        "activity_lines": [
          310.7,
          307.636364,
          306.939259,
          309.480118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 328.5,
        "volume": 75179,
        "typical_volume": 199387.55,
        "trend": 313.933722,
        "fair_value": 329.624584,
        "relative_strength": -8.830997,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.59101,
        "energy": 31.217634,
        "activity_lines": [
          317.966667,
          311.727273,
          308.79571,
          310.447931
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 317.5,
        "volume": 220315,
        "typical_volume": 192281.15,
        "trend": 313.952039,
        "fair_value": 330.010847,
        "relative_strength": -12.088921,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.281199,
        "energy": 29.226745,
        "activity_lines": [
          319.7,
          313.409091,
          309.587514,
          310.678014
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 314.0,
        "volume": 125439,
        "typical_volume": 178406.05,
        "trend": 313.222446,
        "fair_value": 330.446779,
        "relative_strength": -13.060374,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.687921,
        "energy": 33.188754,
        "activity_lines": [
          318.966667,
          314.263636,
          310.02201,
          310.681108
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}