{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1943d489-0773-4aff-adf6-766ea4338693", "symbol": "FRSX", "name": "Foresight Autonomous Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.946, "architecture_energy": 84.873, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.6, "rotation_up": 18.93, "upward_expansion": 19.71, "deceleration": 38.61, "rotation_down": 70.92, "downward_expansion": 95.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.046667, 0.050636, 0.056967, 0.064374 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.044, "trend_reference": 0.0767, "distance_from_trend": -0.426336, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.686467, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.935904, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -74.723066, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.555556, "excess_performance": -0.584456, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.426336, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.398274, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.935904, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013074, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.747231, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064745, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.555556, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.188967, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3746616, "relative_activity": 0.583135, "balance": 0.188967, "dry_up": 1.274201, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.16958, "annualized_volatility": 0.580855, "from_high_reference": -0.883598, "from_low_reference": 0.047619 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0767, "fair_value_reference": 0.686467, "structural_low": 0.042, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 53, "median_return": -0.094203, "positive_rate": 0.264151, "directional_follow_through": 0.735849, "median_excess_return": -0.104419, "regime_survival": 0.886792, "best_return": 1.333336, "worst_return": -0.375389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.309883, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.328471, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 1.160921, "worst_return": -0.573585, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.536978, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.483146, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.480316, "worst_return": -0.716981, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-11-17", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.317073, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.06015, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.134921, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.124138, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.362205, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", 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0.057, 0.058891, 0.065381, 0.074508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.05, "volume": 12871268, "typical_volume": 6686579.8, "trend": 0.088033, "fair_value": 0.732339, "relative_strength": -74.860334, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.600192, "energy": 60.640198, "activity_lines": [ 0.055, 0.056909, 0.063233, 0.071774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.05, "volume": 4483593, "typical_volume": 6582807.2, "trend": 0.084167, "fair_value": 0.717628, "relative_strength": -74.269252, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.37269, "energy": 64.782593, "activity_lines": [ 0.0532, 0.055218, 0.061295, 0.06932 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.044, "volume": 11645267, "typical_volume": 6830240.95, "trend": 0.0805, "fair_value": 0.701352, "relative_strength": -75.713343, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.016976, "energy": 71.39385, "activity_lines": [ 0.049533, 0.052727, 0.058995, 0.066729 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.044, "volume": 3746616, "typical_volume": 6424958.35, "trend": 0.0767, "fair_value": 0.686467, "relative_strength": -74.723066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.945571, "energy": 84.873272, "activity_lines": [ 0.046667, 0.050636, 0.056967, 0.064374 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }