{ "ticker": { "uuid": "194d3337-1fe5-4c26-b46e-cd03ddb9dbb3", "symbol": "AXISCADES", "name": "AXISCADES Technologies Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 50.358, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.277, "architecture_energy": 49.723, "architecture_maturity": 5.588, "architecture_confidence": 64.938, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.77, "rotation_up": 15.07, "upward_expansion": 25.67, "deceleration": 50.72, "rotation_down": 64.14, "downward_expansion": 53.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 1582.120003, 1633.810915, 1747.551442, 1718.109047 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1598.5, "trend_reference": 1630.873348, "distance_from_trend": -0.01985, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 986.744556, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.619973, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.1872, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.422786, "excess_performance": 0.466495, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.01985, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067172, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.619973, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.860527, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.031872, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.541643, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.422786, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.24586, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 767640, "relative_activity": 1.233237, "balance": 0.24586, "dry_up": 1.023401, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092948, "annualized_volatility": 0.537536, "from_high_reference": -0.277024, "from_low_reference": 0.503339 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1630.873348, "fair_value_reference": 986.744556, "structural_low": 1137.800049, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.044443, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.054026, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.149688, "worst_return": -0.195377, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.017747, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.034956, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.089548, "worst_return": -0.054054, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.268844, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.220191, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.484719, "worst_return": 0.052969, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.304014, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.049115, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.073326, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.119499, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.154927, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.102925, 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"fair_value": 979.868594, "relative_strength": 1.452372, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.606846, "energy": 55.572746, "activity_lines": [ 1580.093343, 1656.696371, 1764.390491, 1719.773564 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1598.5, "volume": 767640, "typical_volume": 622459.4, "trend": 1630.873348, "fair_value": 986.744556, "relative_strength": 3.1872, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.276868, "energy": 49.723482, "activity_lines": [ 1582.120003, 1633.810915, 1747.551442, 1718.109047 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }