{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1951509f-3248-4828-b63d-b3bf1bca14ee",
    "symbol": "B1AX34",
    "name": "Baxter International Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 71.361,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.334,
    "architecture_energy": 78.963,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.031,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.44,
        "rotation_up": 83.42,
        "upward_expansion": 90.02,
        "deceleration": 50.24,
        "rotation_down": 9.67,
        "downward_expansion": 14.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        64.121333,
        60.769091,
        55.442162,
        53.074431
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 70.699997,
    "trend_reference": 51.384494,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.375901,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 79.169955,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.106984,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 24.682704,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.250407,
    "excess_performance": 0.307456,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.375901,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043741,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.106984,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.389351,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.246827,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.671398,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250407,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 19.555556,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21,
      "relative_activity": 0.111821,
      "balance": 19.555556,
      "dry_up": 0.151757,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.068898,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.524755,
      "from_high_reference": -0.035076,
      "from_low_reference": 0.726255
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.384494,
      "fair_value_reference": 79.169955,
      "structural_low": 40.9557,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.008966,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012408,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.011458,
        "worst_return": -0.128265,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.152146,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.0804,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.160816,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.020928,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047324,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.081816,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.013526,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 44.264542,
        "volume": 711,
        "typical_volume": 402.6,
        "trend": 50.94144,
        "fair_value": 83.569229,
        "relative_strength": -41.427269,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.003346,
        "energy": 41.466975,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.980292,
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          49.01404
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 41.905365,
        "volume": 19,
        "typical_volume": 391.75,
        "trend": 50.327055,
        "fair_value": 83.201023,
        "relative_strength": -42.457105,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.148571,
        "energy": 46.495425,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 43.184921,
        "volume": 10,
        "typical_volume": 391.25,
        "trend": 49.66475,
        "fair_value": 82.823637,
        "relative_strength": -37.213772,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.108328,
        "energy": 55.579942,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 48.782963,
        "volume": 233,
        "typical_volume": 392.05,
        "trend": 49.219015,
        "fair_value": 82.507629,
        "relative_strength": -27.324477,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.707841,
        "energy": 31.126493,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 50.009998,
        "volume": 303,
        "typical_volume": 383.6,
        "trend": 49.231079,
        "fair_value": 82.200535,
        "relative_strength": -23.03935,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.076035,
        "energy": 13.542082,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.854125,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 47.450001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 355.15,
        "trend": 49.212752,
        "fair_value": 81.875743,
        "relative_strength": -23.618322,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.281771,
        "energy": 24.521964,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 53.200001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 349.7,
        "trend": 49.361118,
        "fair_value": 81.542765,
        "relative_strength": -13.993124,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.628438,
        "energy": 40.970469,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 51.200001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 341.95,
        "trend": 49.412848,
        "fair_value": 81.209854,
        "relative_strength": -14.658778,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.656207,
        "energy": 45.046027,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 57.119999,
        "volume": 54,
        "typical_volume": 335.85,
        "trend": 49.650314,
        "fair_value": 80.902741,
        "relative_strength": -6.042592,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.147303,
        "energy": 69.483034,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.994,
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          48.200883,
          48.722634
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 58.200001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 302.25,
        "trend": 49.901462,
        "fair_value": 80.600403,
        "relative_strength": -3.370568,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.005639,
        "energy": 77.927398,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.128667,
          52.101671,
          49.176835,
          49.274226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 59.400002,
        "volume": 26,
        "typical_volume": 264.95,
        "trend": 50.175955,
        "fair_value": 80.28342,
        "relative_strength": -2.013191,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 56.006535,
        "energy": 82.600656,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.117334,
          53.895893,
          50.236668,
          49.887035
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 59.459999,
        "volume": 10,
        "typical_volume": 213.55,
        "trend": 50.394154,
        "fair_value": 79.945097,
        "relative_strength": 1.791246,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.485189,
        "energy": 90.963934,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.329334,
          55.425834,
          51.284701,
          50.486006
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 54.599998,
        "volume": 36,
        "typical_volume": 214.75,
        "trend": 50.442025,
        "fair_value": 79.608329,
        "relative_strength": -5.364938,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.655064,
        "energy": 78.204871,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.504,
          55.752963,
          51.835837,
          50.757351
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.550003,
        "volume": 47,
        "typical_volume": 193.6,
        "trend": 50.893226,
        "fair_value": 79.375841,
        "relative_strength": 13.318583,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.667662,
        "energy": 68.671037,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.435334,
          58.045273,
          53.490229,
          51.796575
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 70.699997,
        "volume": 21,
        "typical_volume": 187.8,
        "trend": 51.384494,
        "fair_value": 79.169955,
        "relative_strength": 24.682704,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.334105,
        "energy": 78.963245,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.121333,
          60.769091,
          55.442162,
          53.074431
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}