{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "195ebdf2-a551-470c-911f-c4549f7adf1f",
    "symbol": "2722",
    "name": "Chateau International Development Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.712,
    "architecture_energy": 55.392,
    "architecture_maturity": 95.826,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.306,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.78,
        "rotation_up": 14.17,
        "upward_expansion": 10.26,
        "deceleration": 41.41,
        "rotation_down": 68.57,
        "downward_expansion": 88.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.843333,
        22.17,
        22.565952,
        22.894839
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 21.75,
    "trend_reference": 23.458333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.072824,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 37.510875,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.420168,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -40.240134,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.147059,
    "excess_performance": -0.588431,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072824,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064722,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.420168,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025463,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.402401,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03594,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.147059,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.411011,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 148100,
      "relative_activity": 0.558967,
      "balance": 0.411011,
      "dry_up": 0.917177,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052343,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.167124,
      "from_high_reference": -0.310618,
      "from_low_reference": 0.045673
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.458333,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.510875,
      "structural_low": 20.799999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.018405,
        "positive_rate": 0.407407,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.592593,
        "median_excess_return": -0.049491,
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        "best_return": 0.49652,
        "worst_return": -0.138462,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.222222,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
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        "worst_return": -0.141026,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.192577,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.311517,
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
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          22.917381,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.75,
        "volume": 335520,
        "typical_volume": 260870.55,
        "trend": 23.713333,
        "fair_value": 38.077918,
        "relative_strength": -38.777223,
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          23.129462
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.9,
        "volume": 244414,
        "typical_volume": 263780.05,
        "trend": 23.573333,
        "fair_value": 37.782177,
        "relative_strength": -38.790559,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.759217,
        "energy": 60.554709,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.956667,
          22.327273,
          22.68119,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 21.75,
        "volume": 148100,
        "typical_volume": 264952.8,
        "trend": 23.458333,
        "fair_value": 37.510875,
        "relative_strength": -40.240134,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.712136,
        "energy": 55.391643,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.843333,
          22.17,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}