{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1961960e-e33e-417a-9f4e-0e972c31cde4", "symbol": "SCHAEFFLER", "name": "Schaeffler India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 63.218, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.337, "architecture_energy": 10.173, "architecture_maturity": 14.868, "architecture_confidence": 86.14, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.18, "rotation_up": 20.42, "upward_expansion": 49.84, "deceleration": 89.22, "rotation_down": 31.23, "downward_expansion": 20.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 4079.46001, 4109.703662, 4109.422256, 4082.018794 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4035.199951, "trend_reference": 4018.070573, "distance_from_trend": 0.004263, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3639.994821, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.108573, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.073649, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.066618, "excess_performance": 0.110327, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004263, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02062, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.108573, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089343, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020736, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088381, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.066618, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.093856, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 173833, "relative_activity": 0.550721, "balance": 1.093856, "dry_up": 1.123646, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048464, "annualized_volatility": 0.354415, "from_high_reference": -0.092193, "from_low_reference": 0.156321 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4018.070573, "fair_value_reference": 3639.994821, "structural_low": 3660.680285, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.022416, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.023291, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.261662, "worst_return": -0.066015, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.083394, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.02479, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.418449, "worst_return": 0.008274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.093874, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.015863, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.192331, "worst_return": -0.001728, "sufficient": 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"up", "direction": 31.519052, "energy": 13.957032, "activity_lines": [ 4123.980111, 4135.634619, 4113.701107, 4075.18861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4078.899902, "volume": 406090, "typical_volume": 335942.4, "trend": 4008.052954, "fair_value": 3633.186772, "relative_strength": 4.036475, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.485051, "energy": 13.051017, "activity_lines": [ 4106.380045, 4126.70368, 4114.308252, 4080.267374 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4035.199951, "volume": 173833, "typical_volume": 315646.15, "trend": 4018.070573, "fair_value": 3639.994821, "relative_strength": 2.073649, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.337308, "energy": 10.172743, "activity_lines": [ 4079.46001, 4109.703662, 4109.422256, 4082.018794 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }