{ "ticker": { "uuid": "197c84c9-6e32-4bab-ade7-9f766e6ea0a5", "symbol": "GLOBE", "name": "Globe Enterprises (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.714, "architecture_energy": 63.532, "architecture_maturity": 29.848, "architecture_confidence": 85.631, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.51, "rotation_up": 15.55, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 41.12, "rotation_down": 70.87, "downward_expansion": 90.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.082, 2.136909, 2.234, 2.303441 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.0, "trend_reference": 2.418667, "distance_from_trend": -0.173098, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.214637, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.377846, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.133549, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.256506, "excess_performance": -0.212796, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.173098, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068191, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.377846, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144141, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.171335, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.210884, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.256506, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2204195, "relative_activity": 1.457506, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 1.077615, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092308, "annualized_volatility": 0.320725, "from_high_reference": -0.392097, "from_low_reference": 0.075269 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.418667, "fair_value_reference": 3.214637, "structural_low": 1.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.038461, "positive_rate": 0.290323, "directional_follow_through": 0.645161, "median_excess_return": -0.040596, "regime_survival": 0.806452, "best_return": 2.438739, "worst_return": -0.274314, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.042056, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.027257, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 3.313246, "worst_return": -0.466334, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.206278, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.151671, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 2.92787, "worst_return": -0.584, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.33579, "energy": 57.147721, "activity_lines": [ 2.181333, 2.230909, 2.306762, 2.380968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.14, "volume": 996299, "typical_volume": 1729790.15, "trend": 2.481, "fair_value": 3.216249, "relative_strength": -8.608397, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.884533, "energy": 61.367718, "activity_lines": [ 2.16, 2.205818, 2.286381, 2.357828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.09, "volume": 2138874, "typical_volume": 1519995.85, "trend": 2.452, "fair_value": 3.215469, "relative_strength": -12.913038, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.916883, "energy": 55.360792, "activity_lines": [ 2.131333, 2.176727, 2.263667, 2.332602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.0, "volume": 2204195, "typical_volume": 1512305.45, "trend": 2.418667, "fair_value": 3.214637, "relative_strength": -17.133549, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.71388, "energy": 63.532146, "activity_lines": [ 2.082, 2.136909, 2.234, 2.303441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }