{ "ticker": { "uuid": "198a85fe-4362-4863-ac6e-b2c760414c23", "symbol": "ATNI", "name": "ATN International Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.128, "architecture_energy": 12.666, "architecture_maturity": 27.574, "architecture_confidence": 65.729, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.05, "rotation_up": 40.69, "upward_expansion": 20.06, "deceleration": 44.83, "rotation_down": 30.17, "downward_expansion": 36.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.379333, 25.750528, 26.124302, 26.259027 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 31.97, "trend_reference": 26.124532, "distance_from_trend": 0.223754, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.871485, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.39781, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.139231, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.252637, "excess_performance": 0.065184, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.223754, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06813, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.39781, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.278221, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.251392, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141606, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.252637, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.258899, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 601205, "relative_activity": 1.672171, "balance": 1.258899, "dry_up": 1.102329, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087516, "annualized_volatility": 0.610767, "from_high_reference": -0.00945, "from_low_reference": 1.358044 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.124532, "fair_value_reference": 22.871485, "structural_low": 22.265059, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.035442, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.116753, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.17954, "worst_return": -0.21461, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.196081, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.290539, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.12219, "worst_return": -0.393722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.239731, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.407795, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.08021, "worst_return": -0.435654, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 25.723796, "fair_value": 22.947398, "relative_strength": -1.721246, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.54717, "energy": 53.959287, "activity_lines": [ 23.86782, 24.859583, 25.80925, 25.983414 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.81, "volume": 284238, "typical_volume": 353884.4, "trend": 25.784204, "fair_value": 22.883628, "relative_strength": -1.033111, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.412418, "energy": 51.695195, "activity_lines": [ 23.666, 24.533388, 25.577169, 25.859943 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.97, "volume": 601205, "typical_volume": 359535.6, "trend": 26.124532, "fair_value": 22.871485, "relative_strength": 25.139231, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.128113, "energy": 12.665932, "activity_lines": [ 26.379333, 25.750528, 26.124302, 26.259027 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }