{ "ticker": { "uuid": "198ba9a8-1e55-41b1-be35-c681e3302903", "symbol": "301116", "name": "Jiangsu Yike Food Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.027, "architecture_energy": 51.932, "architecture_maturity": 61.094, "architecture_confidence": 94.302, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 20.05, "upward_expansion": 7.94, "deceleration": 55.95, "rotation_down": 59.09, "downward_expansion": 81.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.650667, 8.798364, 9.294619, 9.655312 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.67, "trend_reference": 10.155667, "distance_from_trend": -0.146289, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.294265, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.232354, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.803698, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.25323, "excess_performance": -0.26063, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146289, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078768, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.232354, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167916, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.218037, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018969, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25323, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.227801, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20245994, "relative_activity": 1.300334, "balance": 0.227801, "dry_up": 1.262873, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 8 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079585, "annualized_volatility": 0.326556, "from_high_reference": -0.412203, "from_low_reference": 0.08375 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.155667, "fair_value_reference": 11.294265, "structural_low": 8.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.007981, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.01285, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.225617, "worst_return": -0.189524, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.136119, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.071862, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.36737, "worst_return": -0.179407, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.037329, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.210916, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.171103, "worst_return": -0.291105, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.680461, "energy": 80.893454, "activity_lines": [ 8.625333, 8.932, 9.485286, 9.848645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.88, "volume": 18465336, "typical_volume": 15563221.15, "trend": 10.231, "fair_value": 11.343205, "relative_strength": -16.472887, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.424909, "energy": 55.638697, "activity_lines": [ 8.679333, 8.875091, 9.395, 9.756022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.67, "volume": 20245994, "typical_volume": 15569839.45, "trend": 10.155667, "fair_value": 11.294265, "relative_strength": -21.803698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.026843, "energy": 51.932092, "activity_lines": [ 8.650667, 8.798364, 9.294619, 9.655312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }