{ "ticker": { "uuid": "198cb278-4f91-42b8-acb9-ac11aefe5203", "symbol": "301030", "name": "Suzhou Shijing Environmental Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.46, "architecture_energy": 62.974, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.213, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.21, "rotation_up": 12.43, "upward_expansion": 12.69, "deceleration": 40.7, "rotation_down": 70.28, "downward_expansion": 88.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.488667, 9.028727, 10.081333, 10.646839 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 8.46, "trend_reference": 11.471, "distance_from_trend": -0.262488, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.41218, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.622527, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.791179, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.340608, "excess_performance": -0.348008, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.262488, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095751, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.622527, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073445, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.377912, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02754, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.340608, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.564364, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43768906, "relative_activity": 0.939863, "balance": 0.564364, "dry_up": 1.04891, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.202037, "annualized_volatility": 0.730213, "from_high_reference": -0.578475, "from_low_reference": 0.315708 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.471, "fair_value_reference": 22.41218, "structural_low": 6.43, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.01202, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.012831, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.281946, "worst_return": -0.204408, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.027054, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.111493, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.165665, "worst_return": -0.237419, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.053217, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.177307, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.308074, "worst_return": -0.286452, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-24", "close": 8.1, "volume": 54761499, "typical_volume": 47788588.25, "trend": 11.696667, "fair_value": 22.840305, "relative_strength": -40.676178, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.123685, "energy": 74.246858, "activity_lines": [ 8.668667, 9.694909, 10.507762, 11.038452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.75, "volume": 44078200, "typical_volume": 47287038.7, "trend": 11.583333, "fair_value": 22.623654, "relative_strength": -33.632109, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.926728, "energy": 66.957737, "activity_lines": [ 8.638, 9.364545, 10.298524, 10.848344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.46, "volume": 43768906, "typical_volume": 46569453.8, "trend": 11.471, "fair_value": 22.41218, "relative_strength": -37.791179, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.459944, "energy": 62.974349, "activity_lines": [ 8.488667, 9.028727, 10.081333, 10.646839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }