{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19992aa4-bade-45bf-9356-73b4ba98d2b4", "symbol": "DBAW", "name": "DBX ETF TRUST XTRACKERS MSCI ALL WRLD EX US HED EQ ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.481, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.768, "architecture_energy": 34.543, "architecture_maturity": 51.285, "architecture_confidence": 84.516, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.35, "rotation_up": 37.22, "upward_expansion": 63.5, "deceleration": 87.91, "rotation_down": 26.44, "downward_expansion": 15.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.757653, 47.772357, 47.2643, 46.44142 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 48.4644, "trend_reference": 45.446276, "distance_from_trend": 0.066411, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.364572, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.370422, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.744034, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.101634, "excess_performance": -0.023991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066411, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053094, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.370422, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008601, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00744, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025308, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.101634, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.084982, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 108158, "relative_activity": 1.011354, "balance": 1.084982, "dry_up": 1.756517, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028077, "annualized_volatility": 0.156912, "from_high_reference": -0.015951, "from_low_reference": 0.308013 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.446276, "fair_value_reference": 35.364572, "structural_low": 41.244247, "invalidation": "A 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45.292841 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 47.7838, "volume": 70866, "typical_volume": 80786.65, "trend": 44.410525, "fair_value": 34.717642, "relative_strength": 3.895248, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.870637, "energy": 67.100733, "activity_lines": [ 47.92869, 47.471105, 46.310635, 45.525768 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 48.13, "volume": 135362, "typical_volume": 84297.45, "trend": 44.658511, "fair_value": 34.851168, "relative_strength": 3.074141, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.781863, "energy": 65.552689, "activity_lines": [ 48.067342, 47.673456, 46.573787, 45.765734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.0961, "volume": 370870, "typical_volume": 99803.7, "trend": 44.863152, "fair_value": 34.976627, "relative_strength": 2.291818, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.588856, "energy": 45.604559, "activity_lines": [ 47.741513, 47.636847, 46.723819, 45.922998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.265, "volume": 178749, "typical_volume": 105273.65, "trend": 45.061845, "fair_value": 35.10018, "relative_strength": 3.089425, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.050781, "energy": 34.861273, "activity_lines": [ 47.5048, 47.618974, 46.881156, 46.077956 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.4814, "volume": 93617, "typical_volume": 103942.0, "trend": 45.250254, "fair_value": 35.229375, "relative_strength": 2.284159, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.343498, "energy": 29.928189, "activity_lines": [ 47.453273, 47.613949, 47.037698, 46.234056 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.4644, "volume": 108158, "typical_volume": 106943.75, "trend": 45.446276, "fair_value": 35.364572, "relative_strength": 0.744034, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.768116, "energy": 34.543054, "activity_lines": [ 47.757653, 47.772357, 47.2643, 46.44142 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }