{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "19a7fcf5-40ee-4e1b-846d-8f035b2aafbc",
    "symbol": "3093",
    "name": "Taiwan Kong King Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 53.214,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -20.563,
    "architecture_energy": 44.025,
    "architecture_maturity": 3.839,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.048,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.49,
        "rotation_up": 14.41,
        "upward_expansion": 27.41,
        "deceleration": 52.32,
        "rotation_down": 61.81,
        "downward_expansion": 43.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.503334,
        51.323901,
        54.641389,
        53.101447
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 47.0,
    "trend_reference": 48.105906,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.022989,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.740719,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.528917,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.879799,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.846495,
    "excess_performance": 0.405123,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022989,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.270446,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.528917,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.209085,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068798,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.173541,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.846495,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.869886,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1780039,
      "relative_activity": 0.129804,
      "balance": 1.869886,
      "dry_up": 0.202903,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.196716,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.933855,
      "from_high_reference": -0.38569,
      "from_low_reference": 1.039824
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 48.105906,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.740719,
      "structural_low": 25.4044,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.014432,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017025,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.21195,
        "worst_return": -0.056383,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.001934,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.085224,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.146808,
        "worst_return": -0.0347,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.623404,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.44374,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.460348,
        "worst_return": -0.028391,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.566939,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.336318,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.566939,
        "worst_return": 0.566939,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019856,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.05597,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.118397,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028249,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040161,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.113281,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.299679,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040165,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.247601,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.321998,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-14",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 28.254938,
        "volume": 972000,
        "typical_volume": 2206900.0,
        "trend": 29.181933,
        "fair_value": 17.537998,
        "relative_strength": 1.980257,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 39.11689,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 16111334.65,
        "trend": 46.049961,
        "fair_value": 30.416511,
        "relative_strength": 0.148022,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 42.950001,
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        "typical_volume": 14774579.9,
        "trend": 46.649584,
        "fair_value": 30.509851,
        "relative_strength": -9.83702,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": -9.41234,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.400002,
        "volume": 2141540,
        "typical_volume": 13859062.1,
        "trend": 47.379489,
        "fair_value": 30.62485,
        "relative_strength": -2.924275,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.541431,
        "energy": 32.279667,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.000001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 47.0,
        "volume": 1780039,
        "typical_volume": 13713249.4,
        "trend": 48.105906,
        "fair_value": 30.740719,
        "relative_strength": -6.879799,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.562852,
        "energy": 44.024971,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}