{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19a98bb9-e44e-4e60-9769-c5a91fd09780", "symbol": "WEWIN", "name": "We Win Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 61.753, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.956, "architecture_energy": 37.697, "architecture_maturity": 10.883, "architecture_confidence": 62.483, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.56, "rotation_up": 18.69, "upward_expansion": 22.36, "deceleration": 52.68, "rotation_down": 55.93, "downward_expansion": 49.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.352001, 47.202728, 50.562953, 50.081914 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 47.0, "trend_reference": 48.757, "distance_from_trend": -0.036036, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 62.029872, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.242301, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.556588, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.088719, "excess_performance": 0.132428, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036036, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009462, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.242301, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.384425, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.045566, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.558305, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088719, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.079222, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7812, "relative_activity": 0.098288, "balance": 0.079222, "dry_up": 0.074122, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107463, "annualized_volatility": 0.696693, "from_high_reference": -0.397436, "from_low_reference": 0.328434 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.757, "fair_value_reference": 62.029872, "structural_low": 35.380001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.007914, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.070327, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.321678, "worst_return": -0.25425, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.07732, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.089628, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.543554, "worst_return": -0.173361, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.219167, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.182083, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.30662, "worst_return": -0.053241, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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"2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.019216, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.315154, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.312537, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.052154, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.019345, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.27785, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.235802, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.092623, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0746, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.017096, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 82.650002, "volume": 1137, "typical_volume": 201437.65, "trend": 50.486667, "fair_value": 34.287072, "relative_strength": 59.153903, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.230356, "energy": 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51.930143, 50.518946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.330002, "volume": 3176, "typical_volume": 81888.1, "trend": 48.71, "fair_value": 62.649423, "relative_strength": -0.9812, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.494401, "energy": 35.363437, "activity_lines": [ 47.104001, 48.576546, 51.585667, 50.435763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.900002, "volume": 7458, "typical_volume": 81175.85, "trend": 48.674667, "fair_value": 62.302628, "relative_strength": -8.303882, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.19149, "energy": 40.923587, "activity_lines": [ 46.258001, 47.590728, 50.986715, 50.189957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.0, "volume": 7812, "typical_volume": 79480.6, "trend": 48.757, "fair_value": 62.029872, "relative_strength": -4.556588, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.956319, "energy": 37.696783, "activity_lines": [ 46.352001, 47.202728, 50.562953, 50.081914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }