{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19abaee1-4aa2-4f09-a529-39615a181c3b", "symbol": "210780", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER KOSPI High Dividend ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 50.757, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.174, "architecture_energy": 26.239, "architecture_maturity": 19.425, "architecture_confidence": 68.684, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.94, "rotation_up": 20.51, "upward_expansion": 14.33, "deceleration": 64.4, "rotation_down": 36.44, "downward_expansion": 59.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 22876.284896, 22843.622017, 23581.185863, 23934.345472 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 23325.0, "trend_reference": 24078.988997, "distance_from_trend": -0.031313, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16538.678185, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.41033, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.51277, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.009146, "excess_performance": -0.220683, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031313, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049995, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.41033, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.27747, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135128, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165588, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.009146, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.178996, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65688, "relative_activity": 0.538828, "balance": 0.178996, "dry_up": 0.774032, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066665, "annualized_volatility": 0.331456, "from_high_reference": -0.161426, "from_low_reference": 0.328076 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24078.988997, "fair_value_reference": 16538.678185, "structural_low": 20709.563674, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.042489, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.008103, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.110332, "worst_return": -0.059481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.043601, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.018787, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.101107, "worst_return": -0.028187, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.093048, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.007014, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.521488, "worst_return": 0.027054, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 22690.090104, 22804.748651, 23662.421726, 23975.577554 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23325.0, "volume": 65688, "typical_volume": 121909.05, "trend": 24078.988997, "fair_value": 16538.678185, "relative_strength": -13.51277, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.173795, "energy": 26.239025, "activity_lines": [ 22876.284896, 22843.622017, 23581.185863, 23934.345472 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }