{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "19bf84b0-6630-4e51-8d06-9f8c778f2401",
    "symbol": "5236",
    "name": "Sunplus Innovation Technology Inc.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 54.129,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -33.075,
    "architecture_energy": 52.232,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.16,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.998,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.84,
        "rotation_up": 14.3,
        "upward_expansion": 24.56,
        "deceleration": 51.74,
        "rotation_down": 70.99,
        "downward_expansion": 54.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        139.366667,
        145.645455,
        152.80271,
        149.790507
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 135.5,
    "trend_reference": 142.932874,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.052003,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 130.723412,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.03654,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -23.888285,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.159269,
    "excess_performance": -0.186463,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052003,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102073,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03654,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.337336,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.238883,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.171759,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159269,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.913476,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 554215,
      "relative_activity": 0.302839,
      "balance": 0.913476,
      "dry_up": 0.408817,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.091189,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.375813,
      "from_high_reference": -0.264999,
      "from_low_reference": 0.314195
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 142.932874,
      "fair_value_reference": 130.723412,
      "structural_low": 116.883981,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.008542,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024248,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.105634,
        "worst_return": -0.078864,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.110953,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023951,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.137168,
        "worst_return": -0.022082,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.325156,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.101924,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.545894,
        "worst_return": -0.173501,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.056494,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007034,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.056494,
        "worst_return": 0.056494,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.087774,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.106254,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.097166,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.078067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.054475,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.090909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.036585,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004425,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.088496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007782,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.068965,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.009374,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.086379,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-08-21",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1779439.0,
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        "fair_value": 129.711078,
        "relative_strength": -15.612858,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.850933,
        "energy": 22.444043,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 1152186,
        "typical_volume": 1802231.75,
        "trend": 140.106078,
        "fair_value": 130.035594,
        "relative_strength": -18.463147,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -1.651749,
        "energy": 18.586692,
        "activity_lines": [
          149.266667,
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          156.930216,
          150.310029
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 142.5,
        "volume": 667646,
        "typical_volume": 1808693.5,
        "trend": 141.276704,
        "fair_value": 130.266414,
        "relative_strength": -19.900841,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -3.447668,
        "energy": 24.203606,
        "activity_lines": [
          145.6,
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          156.022981,
          150.464475
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 137.5,
        "volume": 618599,
        "typical_volume": 1816570.1,
        "trend": 142.169798,
        "fair_value": 130.489277,
        "relative_strength": -24.59947,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.273038,
        "energy": 35.713233,
        "activity_lines": [
          142.033333,
          149.036364,
          154.542463,
          150.220817
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 135.5,
        "volume": 554215,
        "typical_volume": 1830065.05,
        "trend": 142.932874,
        "fair_value": 130.723412,
        "relative_strength": -23.888285,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.075204,
        "energy": 52.23165,
        "activity_lines": [
          139.366667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}