{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19c0b793-e429-495d-bb52-5366b145680d", "symbol": "UIS", "name": "Unisys Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 81.568, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.15, "architecture_energy": 16.42, "architecture_maturity": 58.97, "architecture_confidence": 74.516, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.23, "rotation_up": 20.68, "upward_expansion": 49.85, "deceleration": 82.04, "rotation_down": 42.71, "downward_expansion": 30.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.135333, 3.378727, 3.384429, 3.165247 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.97, "trend_reference": 2.933, "distance_from_trend": 0.012615, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.466218, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.335008, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.126733, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.274678, "excess_performance": 0.149053, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.012615, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095902, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.335008, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035349, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.151267, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013598, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.274678, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.705017, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3592824, "relative_activity": 0.848796, "balance": 0.705017, "dry_up": 0.990689, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.20914, "annualized_volatility": 0.887687, "from_high_reference": -0.403614, "from_low_reference": 0.507614 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.933, "fair_value_reference": 4.466218, "structural_low": 1.97, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.031571, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.031126, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.046729, "worst_return": -0.300595, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.215061, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.19369, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.433673, "worst_return": -0.280374, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.164641, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.054608, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.442308, "worst_return": -0.300623, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.125969, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.161634, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046729, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.104255, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.325472, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.234615, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.009346, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.535117, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.105651, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.048077, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3.72, "volume": 2235412, "typical_volume": 3546032.9, "trend": 4.352667, "fair_value": 14.787628, "relative_strength": -36.832312, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 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"fair_value": 4.498846, "relative_strength": 4.927476, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.126613, "energy": 34.285869, "activity_lines": [ 3.760667, 3.772727, 3.413476, 3.154688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.12, "volume": 3308032, "typical_volume": 4111566.2, "trend": 2.932, "fair_value": 4.484038, "relative_strength": -8.520948, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.756868, "energy": 24.259345, "activity_lines": [ 3.562, 3.666727, 3.41981, 3.167376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.87, "volume": 4888269, "typical_volume": 4191412.75, "trend": 2.941, "fair_value": 4.474551, "relative_strength": -15.8814, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.446497, "energy": 14.392751, "activity_lines": [ 3.308, 3.512909, 3.398762, 3.163376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.97, "volume": 3592824, "typical_volume": 4232847.7, "trend": 2.933, "fair_value": 4.466218, "relative_strength": -15.126733, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.14991, "energy": 16.420078, "activity_lines": [ 3.135333, 3.378727, 3.384429, 3.165247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }