{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19c44422-ae44-44bf-bb83-bca63a8b5ccc", "symbol": "XYZ", "name": "Block, Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.899, "architecture_energy": 42.462, "architecture_maturity": 40.32, "architecture_confidence": 78.385, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.51, "rotation_up": 54.14, "upward_expansion": 78.96, "deceleration": 60.1, "rotation_down": 20.68, "downward_expansion": 5.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 79.239333, 78.158182, 75.375905, 72.181484 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 79.0, "trend_reference": 68.226333, "distance_from_trend": 0.157911, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 68.212372, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.158148, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.479484, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.41147, "excess_performance": 0.285846, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.157911, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060568, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.158148, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048893, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014795, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028351, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.41147, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.15968, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35153870, "relative_activity": 1.297159, "balance": 1.15968, "dry_up": 0.984678, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086634, "annualized_volatility": 0.507658, "from_high_reference": -0.089337, "from_low_reference": 0.638664 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.226333, "fair_value_reference": 68.212372, "structural_low": 48.21, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.037959, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.024122, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.091103, "worst_return": -0.215615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.161226, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.222949, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.003559, "worst_return": -0.237332, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.277921, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.336873, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.166183, "worst_return": -0.597282, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.256775, "energy": 69.652564, "activity_lines": [ 78.387333, 75.873455, 72.879667, 69.917527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 77.15, "volume": 20321399, "typical_volume": 28018727.8, "trend": 67.375, "fair_value": 67.980641, "relative_strength": 3.196241, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.024117, "energy": 56.796197, "activity_lines": [ 78.192667, 76.437091, 73.591571, 70.57157 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 81.24, "volume": 22636122, "typical_volume": 27239887.45, "trend": 67.911333, "fair_value": 68.094231, "relative_strength": 7.727088, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.934994, "energy": 52.172752, "activity_lines": [ 79.203333, 77.620909, 74.641476, 71.466086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 79.0, "volume": 35153870, "typical_volume": 27100662.7, "trend": 68.226333, "fair_value": 68.212372, "relative_strength": 1.479484, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.898855, "energy": 42.462348, "activity_lines": [ 79.239333, 78.158182, 75.375905, 72.181484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }