{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19d0843d-c968-4ad0-95a4-74ce6c983f34", "symbol": "3040", "name": "Qassim Cement Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 65.157, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.991, "architecture_energy": 15.549, "architecture_maturity": 56.851, "architecture_confidence": 89.723, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.87, "rotation_up": 24.84, "upward_expansion": 59.15, "deceleration": 85.31, "rotation_down": 36.01, "downward_expansion": 22.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.072001, 44.43297, 44.301763, 43.832908 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 43.32, "trend_reference": 43.198186, "distance_from_trend": 0.00282, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.632659, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.09054, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.18835, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.040102, "excess_performance": 0.071931, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00282, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030524, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.09054, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017785, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.041883, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021183, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.040102, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.40534, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 471065, "relative_activity": 0.682458, "balance": 1.40534, "dry_up": 0.600222, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023995, "annualized_volatility": 0.106703, "from_high_reference": -0.054148, "from_low_reference": 0.12278 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.198186, "fair_value_reference": 47.632659, "structural_low": 40.412654, "invalidation": "A 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"typical_volume": 688670.5, "trend": 43.081674, "fair_value": 47.843312, "relative_strength": 9.099001, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.908152, "energy": 49.413241, "activity_lines": [ 45.206667, 45.003192, 44.403134, 43.813485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.200001, "volume": 636867, "typical_volume": 686283.65, "trend": 43.137275, "fair_value": 47.736503, "relative_strength": 6.40518, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.549265, "energy": 22.70236, "activity_lines": [ 44.554668, 44.690882, 44.349303, 43.821119 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.32, "volume": 471065, "typical_volume": 690248.05, "trend": 43.198186, "fair_value": 47.632659, "relative_strength": 4.18835, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.990712, "energy": 15.548623, "activity_lines": [ 44.072001, 44.43297, 44.301763, 43.832908 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }