{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19d317f2-aca6-457e-b6c9-7a98c83e37e9", "symbol": "300857", "name": "Sharetronic Data Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 10.833, "architecture_energy": 18.839, "architecture_maturity": 46.734, "architecture_confidence": 72.538, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.24, "rotation_up": 22.33, "upward_expansion": 45.2, "deceleration": 82.27, "rotation_down": 42.94, "downward_expansion": 34.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 235.095332, 251.285635, 252.671639, 237.577108 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 253.669998, "trend_reference": 214.216201, "distance_from_trend": 0.184177, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 79.214145, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.202332, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 52.440458, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.559637, "excess_performance": 0.552237, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.184177, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.303702, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.202332, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.621977, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.524405, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.571111, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.559637, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.620235, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 157413045, "relative_activity": 1.568504, "balance": 0.620235, "dry_up": 1.341838, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.186159, "annualized_volatility": 1.015784, "from_high_reference": -0.265321, "from_low_reference": 3.699734 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 214.216201, "fair_value_reference": 79.214145, "structural_low": 138.987524, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.05881, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.050197, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.316163, "worst_return": -0.203183, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.181068, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.074537, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.136662, "worst_return": -0.147004, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.94506, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.825528, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.216337, "worst_return": 0.06133, "sufficient": false 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252.88162, 232.251743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 230.399994, "volume": 158514534, "typical_volume": 95282403.75, "trend": 206.049552, "fair_value": 76.375074, "relative_strength": 49.666058, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.531417, "energy": 17.191413, "activity_lines": [ 251.347329, 259.28218, 252.768982, 234.112708 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 215.850006, "volume": 130848557, "typical_volume": 98569791.35, "trend": 209.772242, "fair_value": 77.667815, "relative_strength": 39.659283, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.950372, "energy": 18.516768, "activity_lines": [ 233.030665, 251.335272, 251.012686, 234.744995 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 253.669998, "volume": 157413045, "typical_volume": 100358727.65, "trend": 214.216201, "fair_value": 79.214145, "relative_strength": 52.440458, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.832637, "energy": 18.839257, "activity_lines": [ 235.095332, 251.285635, 252.671639, 237.577108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }