{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "19d60a38-aabc-4f90-8aa6-886db3135d34",
    "symbol": "CATY",
    "name": "Cathay General Bancorp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.404,
    "architecture_energy": 62.111,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.62,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.922,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.08,
        "rotation_up": 64.2,
        "upward_expansion": 88.7,
        "deceleration": 57.7,
        "rotation_down": 24.4,
        "downward_expansion": 10.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        63.034667,
        62.391273,
        60.266881,
        58.004114
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 63.41,
    "trend_reference": 55.353899,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.145538,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 43.707637,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.450776,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.034201,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.188407,
    "excess_performance": 0.000953,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145538,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087875,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.450776,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066842,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070342,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079012,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188407,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.104066,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1844134,
      "relative_activity": 0.839224,
      "balance": 3.104066,
      "dry_up": 1.187597,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040449,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.198247,
      "from_high_reference": -0.022808,
      "from_low_reference": 0.452604
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 55.353899,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.707637,
      "structural_low": 45.448909,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.020518,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.464286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028897,
        "regime_survival": 0.678571,
        "best_return": 0.128535,
        "worst_return": -0.22131,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "worst_return": -0.288159,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.05997,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030463,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.384764,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.221478,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 43.33519,
        "relative_strength": 12.848482,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 71.817867,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 63.19,
        "volume": 2536765,
        "typical_volume": 2443585.3,
        "trend": 54.899795,
        "fair_value": 43.516915,
        "relative_strength": 12.37342,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.273447,
        "energy": 63.378374,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 63.41,
        "volume": 1844134,
        "typical_volume": 2197427.85,
        "trend": 55.353899,
        "fair_value": 43.707637,
        "relative_strength": 7.034201,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.404277,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}