{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19e28d7a-d786-42b4-86d2-2b9f82c3ee52", "symbol": "SABINA", "name": "Sabina Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 87.873, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.7, "architecture_energy": 69.776, "architecture_maturity": 12.652, "architecture_confidence": 65.359, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.92, "rotation_up": 74.39, "upward_expansion": 90.22, "deceleration": 43.9, "rotation_down": 10.63, "downward_expansion": 14.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.826667, 15.694545, 15.466805, 15.404331 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 15.9, "trend_reference": 15.389915, "distance_from_trend": 0.033144, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.045882, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.118913, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.373094, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.039474, "excess_performance": -0.152851, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033144, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012964, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.118913, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06931, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.103731, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03332, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.039474, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.588715, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1764200, "relative_activity": 1.445912, "balance": 1.588715, "dry_up": 1.085786, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019836, "annualized_volatility": 0.138229, "from_high_reference": -0.071481, "from_low_reference": 0.116732 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.389915, "fair_value_reference": 18.045882, "structural_low": 14.526583, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.009524, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.010726, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.038462, "worst_return": -0.060241, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.007293, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.109519, "worst_return": -0.030121, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.066265, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.003463, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.04717, "worst_return": -0.081241, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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-12.625006, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.988054, "energy": 65.316284, "activity_lines": [ 15.686667, 15.487273, 15.301869, 15.322374 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.7, "volume": 1434400, "typical_volume": 1322060.0, "trend": 15.37865, "fair_value": 18.093235, "relative_strength": -13.686089, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.911334, "energy": 63.382917, "activity_lines": [ 15.733333, 15.552727, 15.349253, 15.343561 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.8, "volume": 938300, "typical_volume": 1275730.0, "trend": 15.379409, "fair_value": 18.069767, "relative_strength": -11.870475, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.055367, "energy": 64.179967, "activity_lines": [ 15.78, 15.621818, 15.404696, 15.370744 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.9, "volume": 1764200, "typical_volume": 1220130.0, "trend": 15.389915, "fair_value": 18.045882, "relative_strength": -10.373094, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.699576, "energy": 69.775553, "activity_lines": [ 15.826667, 15.694545, 15.466805, 15.404331 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }