{ "ticker": { "uuid": "19fb7348-b86f-45d0-a018-f8a46b3b8ca2", "symbol": "CTEV", "name": "Claritev Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 90.254, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.429, "architecture_energy": 21.419, "architecture_maturity": 44.383, "architecture_confidence": 75.318, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.41, "rotation_up": 30.12, "upward_expansion": 56.01, "deceleration": 87.73, "rotation_down": 32.9, "downward_expansion": 22.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.376, 28.636727, 27.029429, 25.169914 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 32.59, "trend_reference": 23.926667, "distance_from_trend": 0.362079, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.127487, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.016225, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.25474, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.257816, "excess_performance": 0.132191, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.362079, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163696, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.016225, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.251298, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212547, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.186313, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.257816, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.407379, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 598915, "relative_activity": 0.95325, "balance": 1.407379, "dry_up": 0.881295, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.247669, "annualized_volatility": 1.708887, "from_high_reference": -0.56001, "from_low_reference": 1.833913 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.926667, "fair_value_reference": 33.127487, "structural_low": 11.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.046182, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.040078, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.319666, "worst_return": -0.236902, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.455581, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.369573, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.038776, "worst_return": -0.506154, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.438423, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.494908, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.336735, "worst_return": -0.54011, 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-0.10989, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.043332, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.879109, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.274222, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.375307, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.279499, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.09506, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.251209, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.229697, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.228076, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 63.6, "volume": 6989862, "typical_volume": 8318749.2, "trend": 56.3976, "fair_value": 193.048256, "relative_strength": -15.74293, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", 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"Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.594237, "energy": 59.21326, "activity_lines": [ 30.193333, 27.154545, 23.826619, 23.73486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 32.64, "volume": 488933, "typical_volume": 860504.9, "trend": 25.419667, "fair_value": 34.741974, "relative_strength": -22.976147, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.336756, "energy": 60.670338, "activity_lines": [ 31.445333, 28.44, 24.867333, 24.197871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 31.24, "volume": 354692, "typical_volume": 854477.2, "trend": 25.212667, "fair_value": 34.426846, "relative_strength": -26.434619, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.282613, "energy": 51.340856, "activity_lines": [ 31.729333, 29.310364, 25.728762, 24.573376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 30.39, "volume": 611076, "typical_volume": 716982.65, "trend": 24.858333, "fair_value": 34.129346, "relative_strength": -26.613073, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.187368, "energy": 45.059836, "activity_lines": [ 31.37, 29.911455, 26.471286, 24.907398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.61, "volume": 629802, "typical_volume": 666075.95, "trend": 24.177667, "fair_value": 33.749923, "relative_strength": -46.889158, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.019707, "energy": 18.296543, "activity_lines": [ 28.117333, 28.854545, 26.297048, 24.697828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.71, "volume": 375033, "typical_volume": 644160.25, "trend": 23.805, "fair_value": 33.436526, "relative_strength": -44.163421, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.720116, "energy": 16.614659, "activity_lines": [ 25.752, 27.856909, 26.206619, 24.60314 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.59, "volume": 598915, "typical_volume": 628287.35, "trend": 23.926667, "fair_value": 33.127487, "relative_strength": -21.25474, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.429276, "energy": 21.419473, "activity_lines": [ 27.376, 28.636727, 27.029429, 25.169914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }