{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1a015836-22ba-4193-869c-ae0513d6ab44", "symbol": "SNOWMAN", "name": "Snowman Logistics Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 58.61, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -19.802, "architecture_energy": 9.381, "architecture_maturity": 37.817, "architecture_confidence": 59.478, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.86, "rotation_up": 26.64, "upward_expansion": 20.41, "deceleration": 34.74, "rotation_down": 32.41, "downward_expansion": 56.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.962, 37.796909, 38.13319, 38.135154 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 39.150002, "trend_reference": 38.256286, "distance_from_trend": 0.023361, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 56.103119, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.302178, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.576511, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.075362, "excess_performance": -0.031653, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023361, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035457, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.302178, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040567, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065765, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01778, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.075362, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.727093, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4197746, "relative_activity": 3.827755, "balance": 1.727093, "dry_up": 1.516039, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063307, "annualized_volatility": 0.38053, "from_high_reference": -0.33791, "from_low_reference": 0.283607 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.256286, "fair_value_reference": 56.103119, "structural_low": 30.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.038563, "positive_rate": 0.294118, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": -0.048678, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.258156, "worst_return": -0.120586, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.057811, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.073898, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.496592, "worst_return": -0.407278, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.097013, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.135279, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.458004, "worst_return": -0.391859, 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37.428666, 37.599636, 38.11519, 38.204541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.400002, "volume": 524861, "typical_volume": 1028044.35, "trend": 38.294971, "fair_value": 56.236775, "relative_strength": -11.310666, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.484226, "energy": 47.615217, "activity_lines": [ 36.966666, 37.364363, 37.975286, 38.074889 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.299999, "volume": 803785, "typical_volume": 985881.65, "trend": 38.220921, "fair_value": 56.176143, "relative_strength": -8.448885, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.749517, "energy": 34.479056, "activity_lines": [ 37.337333, 37.508363, 38.022047, 38.075213 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.150002, "volume": 4197746, "typical_volume": 1096660.1, "trend": 38.256286, "fair_value": 56.103119, "relative_strength": -6.576511, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.802213, "energy": 9.380963, "activity_lines": [ 37.962, 37.796909, 38.13319, 38.135154 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }