{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1a26380e-8c29-4b7c-b1ca-534f9075c55a", "symbol": "LAM", "name": "Laramide Resources Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.034, "architecture_energy": 72.963, "architecture_maturity": 26.662, "architecture_confidence": 94.706, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.68, "rotation_up": 14.77, "upward_expansion": 16.82, "deceleration": 38.57, "rotation_down": 69.83, "downward_expansion": 92.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.52, 0.542727, 0.597762, 0.636387 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.56, "trend_reference": 0.685667, "distance_from_trend": -0.183277, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.660385, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.152009, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.841293, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.263158, "excess_performance": -0.383579, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.183277, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009152, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.152009, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.299296, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.228413, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.244642, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.263158, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.356691, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1173200, "relative_activity": 1.071538, "balance": 0.356691, "dry_up": 1.52869, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125, "annualized_volatility": 0.609286, "from_high_reference": -0.384615, "from_low_reference": 0.217391 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.685667, "fair_value_reference": 0.660385, "structural_low": 0.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": 0.002052, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.58, "worst_return": -0.169492, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.072727, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.006757, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.236111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.032258, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.080964, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.58, "worst_return": -0.220339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.116883, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0625, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.15, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.230769, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.32, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.109375, 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.289798, "energy": 70.909973, "activity_lines": [ 0.58, 0.613455, 0.65619, 0.683161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.49, "volume": 1439400, "typical_volume": 1228950.0, "trend": 0.695333, "fair_value": 0.659038, "relative_strength": -31.339022, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.728681, "energy": 83.512201, "activity_lines": [ 0.543333, 0.585818, 0.637333, 0.669785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.51, "volume": 1279300, "typical_volume": 1165315.0, "trend": 0.693667, "fair_value": 0.659615, "relative_strength": -28.244296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.040504, "energy": 81.446838, "activity_lines": [ 0.522667, 0.566364, 0.621952, 0.657828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.49, "volume": 2803000, "typical_volume": 1213520.0, "trend": 0.688667, "fair_value": 0.659872, "relative_strength": -30.447937, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.901177, "energy": 84.875463, "activity_lines": [ 0.507333, 0.546727, 0.60581, 0.644688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.56, "volume": 1173200, "typical_volume": 1094875.0, "trend": 0.685667, "fair_value": 0.660385, "relative_strength": -22.841293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.033518, "energy": 72.963226, "activity_lines": [ 0.52, 0.542727, 0.597762, 0.636387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }