{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1a32cce3-cb0b-4033-94a4-03cbcf3cb0be", "symbol": "MGM", "name": "MGM Resorts International", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.3, "architecture_energy": 48.052, "architecture_maturity": 69.941, "architecture_confidence": 88.37, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.51, "rotation_up": 32.64, "upward_expansion": 65.5, "deceleration": 93.94, "rotation_down": 27.95, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 807.968665, 817.616362, 786.038476, 752.270818 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 804.0, "trend_reference": 707.268335, "distance_from_trend": 0.136768, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 698.3025, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.151363, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.850926, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.288441, "excess_performance": 0.343108, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.136768, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097676, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.151363, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146539, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.158509, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184195, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.288441, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.110646, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.110646, "dry_up": 0.022607, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033899, "annualized_volatility": 0.341711, "from_high_reference": -0.060506, "from_low_reference": 0.410526 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 707.268335, "fair_value_reference": 698.3025, "structural_low": 588.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0533, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.06392, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.00315, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0189, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.097808, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.095166, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"fair_value": 698.284487, "relative_strength": 19.978629, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.747148, "energy": 65.447136, "activity_lines": [ 828.878662, 818.232362, 766.468429, 731.547421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 802.059998, "volume": 151, "typical_volume": 2140.3, "trend": 695.972001, "fair_value": 697.99, "relative_strength": 16.815313, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.908159, "energy": 58.272483, "activity_lines": [ 818.656661, 820.641089, 773.602572, 738.668281 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 804.0, "volume": 25, "typical_volume": 2136.35, "trend": 701.188668, "fair_value": 698.219167, "relative_strength": 16.0706, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.548491, "energy": 53.021557, "activity_lines": [ 812.662663, 820.565089, 780.211, 745.637829 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 804.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2134.3, "trend": 707.268335, "fair_value": 698.3025, "relative_strength": 15.850926, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.300153, "energy": 48.051676, "activity_lines": [ 807.968665, 817.616362, 786.038476, 752.270818 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }