{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1a36c861-7be2-44c5-933e-3a1b4853fca5",
    "symbol": "2466",
    "name": "Cosmo Electronics Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.441,
    "architecture_energy": 53.807,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.075,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.822,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.96,
        "rotation_up": 47.35,
        "upward_expansion": 72.94,
        "deceleration": 74.32,
        "rotation_down": 26.43,
        "downward_expansion": 13.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        95.346666,
        94.816363,
        79.94238,
        72.286236
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 104.0,
    "trend_reference": 64.311666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.617125,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 55.584033,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.871041,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.426634,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.977186,
    "excess_performance": 0.631454,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.617125,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163766,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.871041,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.904373,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.204266,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.707663,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.977186,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.65502,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12964299,
      "relative_activity": 2.304019,
      "balance": 1.65502,
      "dry_up": 1.725962,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.137833,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.977478,
      "from_high_reference": -0.16129,
      "from_low_reference": 1.590286
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 64.311666,
      "fair_value_reference": 55.584033,
      "structural_low": 40.150002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.009485,
        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034797,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.064982,
        "worst_return": -0.12954,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.015122,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.085354,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.167883,
        "worst_return": -0.270659,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.025447,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.155192,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.083812,
        "worst_return": -0.267148,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.134048,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.136344,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.134709,
        "worst_return": -0.288809,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
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        "return": 0.387674,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.251504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.139009,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.116331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.041725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.209023,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040307,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.193241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.153082,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.415313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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    ],
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 5.875641,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "relative_strength": 40.659888,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 4158851.35,
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        "fair_value": 54.104561,
        "relative_strength": 8.454153,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.13394,
        "energy": 88.330185,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 13401336,
        "typical_volume": 4739958.7,
        "trend": 61.461666,
        "fair_value": 54.457238,
        "relative_strength": 6.628106,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.888168,
        "energy": 87.863605,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.979999,
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          71.519285,
          65.942257
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 91.400002,
        "volume": 5293794,
        "typical_volume": 4845597.25,
        "trend": 62.291666,
        "fair_value": 54.809337,
        "relative_strength": 6.103888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.893297,
        "energy": 70.49657,
        "activity_lines": [
          96.593333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 89.699997,
        "volume": 7187285,
        "typical_volume": 5052006.5,
        "trend": 63.014999,
        "fair_value": 55.150539,
        "relative_strength": 1.865743,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.63004,
        "energy": 52.746139,
        "activity_lines": [
          93.293332,
          90.97909,
          76.473571,
          69.642042
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 104.0,
        "volume": 12964299,
        "typical_volume": 5626819.9,
        "trend": 64.311666,
        "fair_value": 55.584033,
        "relative_strength": 20.426634,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.441221,
        "energy": 53.807119,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}