{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1a388909-f8b1-498f-83d3-925491d6631e", "symbol": "002837", "name": "Shenzhen Envicool Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 84.406, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.774, "architecture_energy": 75.034, "architecture_maturity": 22.995, "architecture_confidence": 81.843, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.73, "rotation_up": 8.56, "upward_expansion": 16.98, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 76.94, "downward_expansion": 92.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.138668, 62.481456, 67.472915, 70.107304 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 55.900002, "trend_reference": 73.305229, "distance_from_trend": -0.237435, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.333241, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.677005, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.415198, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.319124, "excess_performance": -0.326524, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.237435, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016877, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.677005, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.051752, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.184152, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.387621, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.319124, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.836192, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 231947221, "relative_activity": 0.972609, "balance": 0.836192, "dry_up": 0.992642, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.19174, "annualized_volatility": 0.779348, "from_high_reference": -0.401619, "from_low_reference": 0.839104 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 73.305229, "fair_value_reference": 33.333241, "structural_low": 45.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.066015, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.181818, "median_excess_return": 0.015841, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.551329, "worst_return": -0.155573, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.455614, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.334156, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 2.297609, "worst_return": -0.065799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 1.083326, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.925169, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.960016, "worst_return": 0.256506, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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-4.561058, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.908978, "energy": 27.693544, "activity_lines": [ 70.387334, 71.179389, 72.822556, 74.194176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 58.700001, "volume": 248317370, "typical_volume": 243524039.4, "trend": 75.423097, "fair_value": 32.846216, "relative_strength": -10.140704, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.688062, "energy": 62.48692, "activity_lines": [ 65.722001, 68.707947, 71.381849, 73.091117 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.450001, "volume": 219715020, "typical_volume": 243625641.65, "trend": 74.176009, "fair_value": 33.05671, "relative_strength": -26.707569, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.334997, "energy": 78.397109, "activity_lines": [ 58.351334, 64.525819, 68.960351, 71.286401 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.900002, "volume": 231947221, "typical_volume": 238479301.6, "trend": 73.305229, "fair_value": 33.333241, "relative_strength": -18.415198, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.773715, "energy": 75.03361, "activity_lines": [ 56.138668, 62.481456, 67.472915, 70.107304 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }