{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1a4fc628-8f20-40a1-8c4c-bca24fc2e0dc",
    "symbol": "BTO",
    "name": "John Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.388,
    "architecture_energy": 63.795,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.364,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.257,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.29,
        "rotation_up": 73.86,
        "upward_expansion": 89.48,
        "deceleration": 46.74,
        "rotation_down": 14.34,
        "downward_expansion": 11.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.313333,
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        38.423426,
        37.551695
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 40.54,
    "trend_reference": 36.702796,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.104548,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.926857,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.354636,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.333771,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.058421,
    "excess_performance": -0.067204,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104548,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054922,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.354636,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072178,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023338,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061155,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058421,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.235952,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 225437,
      "relative_activity": 1.008694,
      "balance": 2.235952,
      "dry_up": 1.095479,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04288,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.223892,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034762,
      "from_low_reference": 0.33757
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.702796,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.926857,
      "structural_low": 32.43686,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": -0.002375,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010251,
        "regime_survival": 0.653846,
        "best_return": 0.166866,
        "worst_return": -0.158706,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.030262,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008141,
        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.134296,
        "worst_return": -0.236823,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.004894,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.085627,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.265234,
        "worst_return": -0.226519,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.093689,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020254,
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        "worst_return": -0.129625,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 29.500755,
        "relative_strength": 1.455573,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.18,
        "volume": 290112,
        "typical_volume": 230570.55,
        "trend": 36.098643,
        "fair_value": 29.605695,
        "relative_strength": 5.721299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 77.176094,
        "energy": 80.837066,
        "activity_lines": [
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          37.352632,
          36.75452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.45,
        "volume": 173184,
        "typical_volume": 227951.95,
        "trend": 36.303273,
        "fair_value": 29.70924,
        "relative_strength": 6.991188,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.229077,
        "energy": 81.87759,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.901333,
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          37.745876,
          37.035253
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.28,
        "volume": 290598,
        "typical_volume": 227339.6,
        "trend": 36.511876,
        "fair_value": 29.815073,
        "relative_strength": 5.317093,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.795931,
        "energy": 72.245796,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.116667,
          39.366572,
          38.090851,
          37.291816
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.54,
        "volume": 225437,
        "typical_volume": 223493.85,
        "trend": 36.702796,
        "fair_value": 29.926857,
        "relative_strength": 2.333771,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.387913,
        "energy": 63.795341,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.313333,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}