{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1a821a4d-12ec-49cf-ab81-299545220463", "symbol": "ACH", "name": "Accendra Health Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 64.566, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.268, "architecture_energy": 12.337, "architecture_maturity": 40.348, "architecture_confidence": 70.014, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.78, "rotation_up": 27.6, "upward_expansion": 57.39, "deceleration": 83.98, "rotation_down": 30.32, "downward_expansion": 18.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.076, 3.201818, 3.178905, 3.045591 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.8, "trend_reference": 2.846667, "distance_from_trend": -0.016393, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.090385, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.747529, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.456911, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.171548, "excess_performance": 0.045923, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016393, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058634, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.747529, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035013, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.254569, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046596, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.171548, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.467871, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5699693, "relative_activity": 1.566779, "balance": 0.467871, "dry_up": 0.86982, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.219624, "annualized_volatility": 0.777102, "from_high_reference": -0.542857, "from_low_reference": 0.521739 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.846667, "fair_value_reference": 11.090385, "structural_low": 1.885, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.136595, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.136772, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.200849, "worst_return": -0.271697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.197642, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.189819, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.40073, "worst_return": -0.531622, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.182523, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.091269, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.001861, "worst_return": -0.343929, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.297705, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.390915, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.275973, "worst_return": -0.319437, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-01-05", "end": "2024-01-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.011464, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-01-19", "end": "2024-02-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.131692, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-02-16", "end": "2024-04-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.182933, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.023064, "active": false }, { "regime": 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-11.733797, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.885733, "energy": 48.076874, "activity_lines": [ 3.447333, 3.3, 3.185, 3.007677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.14, "volume": 2053425, "typical_volume": 3712952.25, "trend": 2.809667, "fair_value": 11.30391, "relative_strength": -17.170324, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.879864, "energy": 32.562607, "activity_lines": [ 3.357333, 3.295273, 3.198952, 3.029785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.09, "volume": 2107861, "typical_volume": 3649756.3, "trend": 2.835333, "fair_value": 11.201795, "relative_strength": -17.344328, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.100802, "energy": 19.817373, "activity_lines": [ 3.256667, 3.277273, 3.204429, 3.047871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.8, "volume": 5699693, "typical_volume": 3637840.6, "trend": 2.846667, "fair_value": 11.090385, "relative_strength": -25.456911, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.267707, "energy": 12.336745, "activity_lines": [ 3.076, 3.201818, 3.178905, 3.045591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }